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TXN

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

Texas Instruments Incorporated

Conservative #189Aggressive #141Moderate RiskMixed 47MLโ†‘ 26pt
$213.90+0.26%
Day High$215.90
Day Low$210.23
Volume7.0M
Mkt Cap$194.4B
52W Low $14052W High $231
Market Cap
$205.5B
P/E Ratio
41.5
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
13.0%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
4.2%
Profit Margin
28.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.86

Why This Score

TXN scores 65.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 30.7% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 28.3%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (19%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
  • Large-cap ($205B) with deep liquidity and institutional ownership.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 41.5x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (12.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.2 points) applied. TXN's rank of #189 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score65.2
Fundamental Score57.5
ML Score87.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
79.4
6 Month
88.7
Primary
1 Year
93.4

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
47
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
57
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
99
Grade A
Base
63.4
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.5
Divergence
-2.2
Final
65.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

70AVG
Value55
Quality95
Growth60
Stability60
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)73.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)51.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+7.1% to +12.6%
Medium-term
+11.6% to +19.9%
Long-term
+17.8% to +29.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 87

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score57.3/100
Target Upside-4.6%
Coverage65 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score47.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+5.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.71)
Relative Strength vs Sector+15.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.6)
Momentum Quality+0.149
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
8%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P58
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P31
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P61
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 61 relative to sector peers61/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 88th percentileP88
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (61.2) + 9% ML (87.5) + SHAP(+3.1) = 66.7โ€”
Factor quality: +1.9pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 12.1%. Max drawdown 22% (-5.5 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +5.0 points ($205.5B market cap)+5.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -2.4pt (ML 26pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #49 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TXN65.241.513.0%28.3%$205.5B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy65 analysts
Buy: 28Hold: 28Sell: 9
Price Target
$212consensus
Low $160Median $215High $260
-1.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Texas Instruments Incorporated designs, manufactures, and sells semiconductors to electronics designers and manufacturers worldwide. It operates in two segments, Analog and Embedded Processing. The Analog segment offers power products to manage power requirements in various levels using battery-management solutions, DC/DC switching regulators, AC/DC and isolated controllers and converters, power switches, linear regulators, voltage supervisors, voltage references, and lighting products. This segment also provides signal chain products that sense, condition, and measure signals to allow information to be transferred or converted for further processing and control for use in end markets, including amplifiers, data converters, interface products, motor drives, clocks, and sensing products. The Embedded Processing segment offers microcontrollers that are used in electronic equipment; digital signal processors for mathematical computations; and applications processors for specific computing activity. This segment offers products for use in various markets, such as industrial, automotive, personal electronics, communications equipment, enterprise systems, and calculators and other. The company also provides DLP products primarily for use in projectors to create high-definition images; calculators; and application-specific integrated circuits. It markets and sells its semiconductor products through direct sales and distributors, as well as through its website. Texas Instruments Incorporated was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

CEO
Haviv Ilan
Employees
34,000
Beta
0.99
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
38.1
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-7.5%
High: $231.32
From 52W Low
+52.8%
Low: $139.95
Moving Averages
10-Day
$221.00
Below
20-Day
$220.90
Below
50-Day
$198.90
Above
200-Day
$189.30
Above
60-Day Support
$165.42
60-Day Resistance
$231.32
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 69/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+13%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+3.52%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.87x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
35
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$4.4B$4.7B$4.4B$4.1B
Gross Profit$2.5B$2.7B$2.6B$2.3B
Operating Income$1.5B$1.7B$1.6B$1.3B
Net Income$1.2B$1.4B$1.3B$1.2B
EPS (Diluted)$1.27$1.48$1.41$1.28
Gross Margin55.9%57.4%57.9%56.8%
Operating Margin33.3%35.1%35.1%32.5%
Net Margin26.3%28.8%29.1%29.0%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 13.0%Profit margin 28.3%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 99/100Score impact: -8.7pt

Volume
100
7.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$1.7B/day
Float
100
906M shares
Mkt Cap
100
$205.5B
Range
93
65% spread
Composite Liquidity Score99/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 42/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$161.67$202.2622.3%Narrow
2022$144.46$192.1028.3%Moderate
2023$139.48$188.1229.7%Moderate
2024$155.46$220.3934.6%Moderate
2025$139.95$221.6945.2%Wide
3-Year Range
45.5%
Narrow Years
3 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
99.7%
Outstanding Shares
909M
Bid-Ask Spread
65.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.