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INTC

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

Intel Corporation

Conservative #496Aggressive #98Moderate RiskMixed 54MLโ†‘ 23pt
$46.88+1.65%
Day High$46.97
Day Low$45.52
Volume74.9M
Mkt Cap$234.2B
52W Low $1852W High $55
Market Cap
$233.7B
P/E Ratio
47.2
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
-0.5%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
98.6%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.41

Why This Score

INTC scores 52.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Large-cap ($234B) with deep liquidity and institutional ownership.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 47.2x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (15.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-3.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.5
Fundamental Score44.4
ML Score81.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
69.6
6 Month
77.8
Primary
1 Year
81.9

Quality Assessment

C
Earnings Grade
Mixed fundamentals, potential quality issues

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
63
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
56
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
100
Grade A
Base
51.7
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Divergence
-3.2
Final
52.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

63AVG
Value55
Quality40
Growth90
Stability75
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)40.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)88.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.8% to +7.6%
Medium-term
+4.8% to +12.1%
Long-term
+7.3% to +17.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 81

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score55.7/100
Target Upside+7.8%
Coverage83 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score62.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+1.0%
6M Momentum+0.9%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+5.0%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.95)
Relative Strength vs Sector+93.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.837
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
18%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P18
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P26
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P85
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 59 relative to sector peers59/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 82th percentileP82
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (59.0) + 9% ML (82.0) + SHAP(+4.3) = 65.4โ€”
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 15.8%. Max drawdown 14% (-2.4 pts)Moderate
Momentum mean-reversion: -0.9pt (97% 12m momentum)โ€”
Market cap adjustment: +5.0 points ($233.7B market cap)+5.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.9pt (ML 23pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by -13 pointsGrade C
Quality concern: Earnings/revenue growth ratio of Infinityx โ€” earnings quality suspectFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #115 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
INTC52.547.2-0.5%-0.5%$233.7B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold83 analysts
Buy: 28Hold: 46Sell: 9
Price Target
$47consensus
Low $20Median $47High $66
-0.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide. The company operates through CCG, DCG, IOTG, Mobileye, NSG, PSG, and All Other segments. It offers platform products, such as central processing units and chipsets, and system-on-chip and multichip packages; and non-platform or adjacent products, including accelerators, boards and systems, connectivity products, graphics, and memory and storage products. The company also provides high-performance compute solutions for targeted verticals and embedded applications for retail, industrial, and healthcare markets; and solutions for assisted and autonomous driving comprising compute platforms, computer vision and machine learning-based sensing, mapping and localization, driving policy, and active sensors. In addition, it offers workload-optimized platforms and related products for cloud service providers, enterprise and government, and communications service providers. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, and cloud service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic partnership with MILA to develop and apply advances in artificial intelligence methods for enhancing the search in the space of drugs. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

CEO
Lip-Bu Tan
Employees
108,900
Beta
1.38
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
44.6
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-14.1%
High: $54.6
From 52W Low
+165.3%
Low: $17.67
Moving Averages
10-Day
$45.90
Above
20-Day
$47.30
Below
50-Day
$43.90
Above
200-Day
$32.10
Above
60-Day Support
$34.95
60-Day Resistance
$54.6
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+46%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+25.08%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.75x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$13.7B$13.7B$12.9B$12.7B
Gross Profit$4.9B$5.2B$3.5B$4.7B
Operating Income$550M$683M$-3.2B$-301M
Net Income$-591M$4.1B$-2.9B$-821M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.12$0.90$-0.67$-0.19
Gross Margin36.1%38.2%27.5%36.9%
Operating Margin4.0%5.0%-24.7%-2.4%
Net Margin-4.3%29.8%-22.7%-6.5%

Why This Stock

Technology

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 100/100Score impact: -20.7pt

Volume
100
104.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$4.6B/day
Float
100
5.0B shares
Mkt Cap
100
$233.7B
Range
100
209% spread
Composite Liquidity Score100/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$47.87$68.4935.4%Wide
2022$24.59$56.2878.4%Wide
2023$24.73$51.2869.9%Wide
2024$18.51$50.3092.4%Wide
2025$17.67$44.0285.4%Wide
3-Year Range
97.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.8%
Outstanding Shares
5.0B
Bid-Ask Spread
209.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.