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MRVL

💻 Technology

Marvell Technology, Inc.

Conservative #777Aggressive #388Moderate RiskModerate 61ML↑ 20pt
$80.92+3.23%
Day High$81.19
Day Low$78.97
Volume10.5M
Mkt Cap$68.6B
52W Low $4752W High $105
Market Cap
$66.7B
P/E Ratio
27.7
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
4.7%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
5.2%
Profit Margin
-15.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.32

Why This Score

MRVL scores 42.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (17.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.3 points) applied. MRVL's rank of #777 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score42.7
Fundamental Score34.9
ML Score65.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
57.8
6 Month
64.6
Primary
1 Year
68.0

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
61
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
100
Grade A
Base
41.0
SHAP
+2.7
Factors
+1.3
Divergence
-2.3
Final
42.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

62AVG
Value55
Quality40
Growth60
Stability75
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)56.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.4% to +3.8%
Medium-term
+0.0% to +6.5%
Long-term
+0.4% to +9.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 65

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score69.4/100
Target Upside+53.6%
Coverage71 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score61.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-39.3%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.56)
Relative Strength vs Sector-17.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.8)
Momentum Quality-0.110
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
12%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P31
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P43
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P41
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 67th percentileP67
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (47.8) + 9% ML (67.4) + SHAP(+3.1) = 52.6—
Factor quality: +1.5pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 17.8%. Max drawdown 22% (-5.5 pts). Price momentum -14% (-1.8 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +3.5 points ($66.7B market cap)+3.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.4pt (ML 20pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #175 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MRVL42.727.74.7%-15.3%$66.7B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy71 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 54Hold: 15Sell: 1
Price Target
$118consensus
Low $80Median $120High $156
+45.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Marvell Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, and sells analog, mixed-signal, digital signal processing, and embedded and standalone integrated circuits. It offers a portfolio of Ethernet solutions, including controllers, network adapters, physical transceivers, and switches; single or multiple core processors; ASIC; and printer System-on-a-Chip products and application processors. The company also provides a range of storage products comprising storage controllers for hard disk drives (HDD) and solid-state drives that support various host system interfaces consisting of serial attached SCSI (SAS), serial advanced technology attachment (SATA), peripheral component interconnect express, non-volatile memory express (NVMe), and NVMe over fabrics; and fiber channel products, including host bus adapters, and controllers for server and storage system connectivity. It has operations in the United States, China, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, India, Israel, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Vietnam. Marvell Technology, Inc. was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.

CEO
Matthew J. Murphy
Employees
7,042
Beta
1.98
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
68.9
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-21.3%
High: $102.77
From 52W Low
+71.8%
Low: $47.09
Moving Averages
10-Day
$79.20
Above
20-Day
$79.20
Above
50-Day
$82.10
Below
200-Day
$78.30
Above
60-Day Support
$70.69
60-Day Resistance
$102.77
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 65/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+3.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+5.5%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.74x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
2
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$2.1B$2.0B$1.9B$1.8B
Gross Profit$1.1B$1.0B$952M$917M
Operating Income$358M$290M$271M$235M
Net Income$1.9B$195M$178M$200M
EPS (Diluted)$2.19$0.22$0.20$0.23
Gross Margin51.6%50.4%50.3%50.5%
Operating Margin17.2%14.5%14.3%12.9%
Net Margin91.7%9.7%9.4%11.0%

Why This Stock

Technology

Tradability FilterGrade A — 100/100Score impact: -13.4pt

Volume
100
16.6M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$1.3B/day
Float
100
845M shares
Mkt Cap
100
$66.7B
Range
100
122% spread
Composite Liquidity Score100/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$37.92$93.8584.9%Wide
2022$35.09$91.7889.4%Wide
2023$33.75$67.9967.3%Wide
2024$53.19$126.1581.4%Wide
2025$47.09$127.4892.1%Wide
3-Year Range
116.3%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.6%
Outstanding Shares
848M
Bid-Ask Spread
122.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.