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NXPI

💻 Technology

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

Conservative #155Aggressive #472Low RiskMixed 46ML↑ 27pt
$235.07+0.19%
Day High$237.28
Day Low$232.78
Volume1.6M
Mkt Cap$59.2B
52W Low $14852W High $256
Market Cap
$61.6B
P/E Ratio
30.8
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
-5.0%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-10.3%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
1.18

Why This Score

NXPI scores 66.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 27.3% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (16%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.18) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-1.5 points) applied. NXPI's rank of #155 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score66.6
Fundamental Score59.1
ML Score84.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
82.7
6 Month
92.4
Primary
1 Year
97.3

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
56
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
100
Grade A
Base
64.1
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+1.6
Divergence
-1.5
Final
66.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

63AVG
Value55
Quality85
Growth45
Stability60
Investment70

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)55.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)74.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+7.0% to +12.5%
Medium-term
+10.4% to +18.6%
Long-term
+15.7% to +26.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 84

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score68.5/100
Target Upside+9.6%
Coverage46 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score55.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+10.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.32)
Relative Strength vs Sector+11.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.9)
Momentum Quality+0.129
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
23%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P12
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P64
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 65 relative to sector peers65/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 92th percentileP92
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (65.3) + 9% ML (92.4) + SHAP(+2.5) = 70.2—
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 8.0%. Max drawdown 17% (-3.4 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +3.5 points ($61.6B market cap)+3.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -2.5pt (ML 27pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #39 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NXPI66.630.8-5.0%19.9%$61.6B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy46 analysts
Buy: 35Hold: 10Sell: 1
Price Target
$250consensus
Low $215Median $255High $280
+6.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

NXP Semiconductors N.V. offers various semiconductor products. The company's product portfolio includes microcontrollers; application processors, including i.MX application processors, and i.MX 8 and 9 family of applications processors; communication processors; wireless connectivity solutions, such as near field communications, ultra-wideband, Bluetooth low-energy, Zigbee, and Wi-Fi and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth integrated SoCs; analog and interface devices; radio frequency power amplifiers; and security controllers, as well as semiconductor-based environmental and inertial sensors, including pressure, inertial, magnetic, and gyroscopic sensors. The company's product solutions are used in a range of applications, including automotive, industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communication infrastructure. The company markets its products to various original equipment manufacturers, contract manufacturers, and distributors. It operates in China, the Netherlands, the United States, Singapore, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, and internationally. The company was formerly known as KASLION Acquisition B.V and changed its name to NXP Semiconductors N.V. in May 2010. NXP Semiconductors N.V. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.

CEO
Rafael Sotomayor
Employees
33,100
Beta
1.46
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
56.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-8.3%
High: $256.36
From 52W Low
+58.7%
Low: $148.09
Moving Averages
10-Day
$238.40
Below
20-Day
$233.70
Above
50-Day
$231.90
Above
200-Day
$220.40
Above
60-Day Support
$191.29
60-Day Resistance
$256.36
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 66/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+6.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.49%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
58
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$3.3B$3.2B$2.9B$2.8B
Gross Profit$1.8B$1.8B$1.6B$1.6B
Operating Income$930M$893M$687M$723M
Net Income$455M$631M$445M$490M
EPS (Diluted)$1.79$2.48$1.75$1.92
Gross Margin53.6%56.3%53.4%55.0%
Operating Margin27.9%28.1%23.5%25.5%
Net Margin13.6%19.9%15.2%17.3%

Why This Stock

TechnologyProfit margin 19.9%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A — 100/100Score impact: -9.2pt

Volume
100
3.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$708M/day
Float
100
252M shares
Mkt Cap
100
$61.6B
Range
97
73% spread
Composite Liquidity Score100/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 1/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$164.19$239.9137.5%Wide
2022$132.08$234.9056%Wide
2023$153.10$238.2743.5%Wide
2024$201.58$296.0838%Wide
2025$148.09$255.4553.2%Wide
3-Year Range
66.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
100.2%
Outstanding Shares
252M
Bid-Ask Spread
73.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.