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60

AMD

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.

Conservative #299Aggressive #56Moderate RiskLow 33MLโ†‘ 33pt
$210.86-1.39%
Day High$216.70
Day Low$210.33
Volume43.5M
Mkt Cap$343.8B
52W Low $7652W High $267
Market Cap
$338.0B
P/E Ratio
79.4
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
34.3%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
160.1%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.06

Why This Score

AMD scores 60.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.06) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Large-cap ($338B) with deep liquidity and institutional ownership.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated valuation at 79.4x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-0.3 points) applied. AMD's rank of #299 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score60.3
Fundamental Score53.2
ML Score70.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
77.3
6 Month
86.4
Primary
1 Year
91.0

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
75
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
100
Grade A
Base
56.6
SHAP
+2.3
Factors
+1.7
Divergence
-0.3
Final
60.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value40
Quality70
Growth90
Stability90
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)58.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)80.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+9.1% to +14.9%
Medium-term
+13.7% to +22.4%
Long-term
+21.9% to +34.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 70

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+47.5%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score75.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+1.1%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+80.1%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.26)
Relative Strength vs Sector+104.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.871
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P93
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P13
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P36
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.5ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 97th percentileP97
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (63.9) + 9% ML (97.2) + SHAP(+2.4) = 69.3โ€”
Factor quality: +1.8pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 20.0%. Max drawdown 19% (-4.4 pts)Moderate
Momentum mean-reversion: -1.4pt (108% 12m momentum)โ€”
Market cap adjustment: +5.0 points ($338.0B market cap)+5.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.6pt (conviction=33)โ€”
Divergence penalty: -3.5pt (ML 33pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #70 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
AMD60.379.434.3%12.3%$338.0B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy69 analysts
Buy: 48Hold: 21
Price Target
$293consensus
Low $220Median $300High $380
+39.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. operates as a semiconductor company worldwide. The company operates in two segments, Computing and Graphics; and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. Its products include x86 microprocessors as an accelerated processing unit, chipsets, discrete and integrated graphics processing units (GPUs), data center and professional GPUs, and development services; and server and embedded processors, and semi-custom System-on-Chip (SoC) products, development services, and technology for game consoles. The company provides processors for desktop and notebook personal computers under the AMD Ryzen, AMD Ryzen PRO, Ryzen Threadripper, Ryzen Threadripper PRO, AMD Athlon, AMD Athlon PRO, AMD FX, AMD A-Series, and AMD PRO A-Series processors brands; discrete GPUs for desktop and notebook PCs under the AMD Radeon graphics, AMD Embedded Radeon graphics brands; and professional graphics products under the AMD Radeon Pro and AMD FirePro graphics brands. It also offers Radeon Instinct, Radeon PRO V-series, and AMD Instinct accelerators for servers; chipsets under the AMD trademark; microprocessors for servers under the AMD EPYC; embedded processor solutions under the AMD Athlon, AMD Geode, AMD Ryzen, AMD EPYC, AMD R-Series, and G-Series processors brands; and customer-specific solutions based on AMD CPU, GPU, and multi-media technologies, as well as semi-custom SoC products. It serves original equipment manufacturers, public cloud service providers, original design manufacturers, system integrators, independent distributors, online retailers, and add-in-board manufacturers through its direct sales force, independent distributors, and sales representatives. The company was incorporated in 1969 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

CEO
Lisa T. Su
Employees
28,000
Beta
1.95
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
56.7
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-21%
High: $267.08
From 52W Low
+175.7%
Low: $76.48
Moving Averages
10-Day
$205.50
Above
20-Day
$215.80
Below
50-Day
$219.00
Below
200-Day
$185.60
Above
60-Day Support
$190.72
60-Day Resistance
$266.96
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 84/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+13.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+23.76%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.02x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$10.3B$9.2B$7.7B$7.4B
Gross Profit$5.6B$4.8B$3.1B$3.7B
Operating Income$1.8B$1.3B$-134M$806M
Net Income$1.5B$1.2B$872M$709M
EPS (Diluted)$0.92$0.76$0.54$0.44
Gross Margin54.3%51.7%39.8%50.2%
Operating Margin17.1%13.7%-1.7%10.8%
Net Margin14.7%13.4%11.3%9.5%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 34.3%Profit margin 12.3%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 100/100Score impact: -8.1pt

Volume
100
37.3M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$7.3B/day
Float
100
1.6B shares
Mkt Cap
100
$338.0B
Range
100
249% spread
Composite Liquidity Score100/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$72.50$164.4677.6%Wide
2022$54.57$152.4294.5%Wide
2023$60.05$151.0586.2%Wide
2024$117.90$227.3063.4%Wide
2025$76.48$267.08111%Wide
3-Year Range
126.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
99.5%
Outstanding Shares
1.6B
Bid-Ask Spread
249.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.