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18

RAPT

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

RAPT Therapeutics, Inc.

Conservative #1310Aggressive #958High RiskFโ†‘ 47pt
$57.96+0.00%
Day High$57.97
Day Low$57.93
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$959M
52W Low $652W High $58
Market Cap
$958M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-11.2%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.02

Why This Score

RAPT scores 18.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.02) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (533%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (38.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -21.2 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, RAPT would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score18.0
Fundamental Score35.9
ML Score25.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
2.6
6 Month
2.9
Primary
1 Year
3.0

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $1.0B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap โ€” no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
2.1%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
62
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
57
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
73
Grade Blow float
Base
23.6
SHAP
-0.4
Factors
-0.9
Conviction
-4.3
Final
18.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

31AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth32
Stability55
Investment10

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)47.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)74.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-21.3% to -12.7%
Medium-term
-29.7% to -17.3%
Long-term
-37.4% to -21.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 25

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score56.7/100
Target Upside+3.6%
Coverage15 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score61.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+5.3%
6M Momentum+4.1%
Volatility+0.4%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+125.7%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.76)
Relative Strength vs Sector+508.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+3.866
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P24
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 36 relative to sector peers36/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 25th percentileP25
Blended score: 80% fundamental (36) + 20% ML (25) = 33.733.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.4%; Drawdown 27% โ†’ 0.0pt; Positive momentum 533% โ†’ -5.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
Conviction adj: -4.3pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $1.0B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Speculative: SPEC_MICRO (3.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #295 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
RAPT18.0N/A0.0%0.0%$958M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

RAPT Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage immunology-based biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing oral small molecule therapies for patients with unmet needs in oncology and inflammatory diseases. Its lead inflammation drug candidate is RPT193, a C-C motif chemokine receptor 4 (CCR4) antagonist that selectively inhibit the migration of type 2 T helper cells into inflamed tissues. The company's lead oncology drug candidate is FLX475, an oral small molecule CCR4 antagonist that is in the Phase 1/2 clinical trial to investigate as a monotherapy and in combination with pembrolizumab in patients with advanced cancer. It also focuses on the development of hematopoietic progenitor kinase 1 inhibitor. The company was formerly known as FLX Bio, Inc. and changed its name to RAPT Therapeutics, Inc. in May 2019. RAPT Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

CEO
Brian Russell Wong
Employees
67
Beta
0.49
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
67.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
+0%
High: $57.98
From 52W Low
+922.2%
Low: $5.67
Moving Averages
10-Day
$57.90
Above
20-Day
$57.80
Above
50-Day
$46.70
Above
200-Day
$25.10
Above
60-Day Support
$29.77
60-Day Resistance
$57.98
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+130.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+76.03%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.03x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$-200,000$0$0
Operating Income$-19M$-20M$-19M$-54M
Net Income$-18M$-18M$-17M$-53M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.65$-0.65$-0.64$-9.12
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 73/100Score impact: -36.8pt

Volume
100
2.3M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$134M/day
Float
11
8M shares
Mkt Cap
39
$958M
Range
100
924% spread
Composite Liquidity Score73/100
FDCBA
low float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$119.12$346.0897.6%Wide
2022$78.88$325.92122.1%Wide
2023$83.76$251.60100.1%Wide
2024$6.31$218.80188.8%Wide
2025$5.67$42.39152.8%Wide
3-Year Range
191.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
50.6%
Outstanding Shares
17M
Bid-Ask Spread
924.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.