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40

PCRX

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Pacira BioSciences, Inc.

Conservative #885Aggressive #1262Moderate Risk
$22.59-3.71%
Day High$23.74
Day Low$22.05
Volume1.9M
Mkt Cap$972M
52W Low $1952W High $28
Market Cap
$999M
P/E Ratio
47.7
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
3.9%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-337.3%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.58

Why This Score

PCRX scores 40.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (91/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 47.7x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (12.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.5 points) applied. PCRX's rank of #885 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.0
Fundamental Score42.0
ML Score24.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
57.4
6 Month
64.1
Primary
1 Year
67.5

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
2 quality flags detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-559.7%) โ€” earnings quality concern
Pipeline concentration: $1.0B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
45
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
77
Grade B
Base
36.5
SHAP
+1.5
Factors
+0.9
Conviction
+1.6
Divergence
-0.5
Final
40.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

48AVG
Value51
Quality28
Growth24
Stability68
Investment71

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)28.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)50.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.0% to +3.2%
Medium-term
-0.9% to +5.4%
Long-term
-0.8% to +7.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 24

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.3/100
Target Upside+17.6%
Coverage36 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score45.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+8.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.52)
Relative Strength vs Sector-33.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.7)
Momentum Quality-0.072
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P47
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P9
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P95
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 42 relative to sector peers42/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 24th percentileP24
Blended score: 80% fundamental (42) + 20% ML (24) = 38.438.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 24% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +1.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -0.5pt (ML 18pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-559.7%) โ€” earnings quality concern; Pipeline concentration: $1.0B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #130 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PCRX40.047.73.9%3.0%$999M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Pacira BioSciences, Inc. provides non-opioid pain management and regenerative health solutions for healthcare practitioners and their patients in the United States. The company offers EXPAREL, a bupivacaine liposome injectable suspension; ZILRETTA, a triamcinolone acetonide extended-release injectable suspension; and iovera system, a non-opioid handheld cryoanalgesia device used to produce controlled doses of cold temperature only to targeted nerves. It also develops proprietary multivesicular liposome, a drug delivery technology that encapsulates drugs without altering their molecular structure. The company was formerly known as Pacira Pharmaceuticals, Inc. and changed its name to Pacira BioSciences, Inc. in April 2019. Pacira BioSciences, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.

CEO
Frank D. Lee
Employees
788
Beta
0.23
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
73.5
Overbought
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-18.3%
High: $27.64
From 52W Low
+20.2%
Low: $18.8
Moving Averages
10-Day
$22.80
Below
20-Day
$21.80
Above
50-Day
$23.00
Below
200-Day
$23.90
Below
60-Day Support
$18.8
60-Day Resistance
$27.16
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 8/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-5.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-1.87%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
33
Confidence: 90%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-26)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$197M$180M$181M$169M
Gross Profit$0$145M$140M$135M
Operating Income$2M$6M$8M$2M
Net Income$21M$5M$-5M$5M
EPS (Diluted)$0.05$0.12$-0.11$0.10
Gross Margin0.0%80.9%77.4%79.7%
Operating Margin1.2%3.5%4.7%1.2%
Net Margin10.8%3.0%-2.7%2.8%

Why This Stock

HealthcareValuation below sector median (P/E 47.7)

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 77/100Score impact: -1.3pt

Volume
95
870K avg/day
Dollar Vol
80
$20M/day
Float
71
41M shares
Mkt Cap
40
$999M
Range
84
47% spread
Composite Liquidity Score77/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
95.8%
Outstanding Shares
43M
Bid-Ask Spread
47.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.