Back to Dashboard
27

AMLX

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Conservative #1144Aggressive #1372Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 31pt
$15.26+6.19%
Day High$15.32
Day Low$14.16
Volume1.1M
Mkt Cap$1.3B
52W Low $352W High $17
Market Cap
$1.2B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-77.1%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-712.4%
Profit Margin
22448.4%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.02

Why This Score

AMLX scores 27.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 22448.4%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.02) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (330%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (17.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -22.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, AMLX would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score27.3
Fundamental Score58.0
ML Score5.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
17.1
6 Month
19.1
Primary
1 Year
20.1

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $1.2B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Speculative Classification
Anomalous margin data โ€” extreme values suggest one-time events or accounting irregularities.
Speculative micro-cap โ€” no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 7 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
89
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
75
Grade B
Base
33.3
SHAP
+0.8
Factors
+0.1
Conviction
-1.1
Divergence
-5.7
Final
27.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

33AVG
Value50
Quality33
Growth0
Stability73
Investment10

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)85.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)90.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-23.1% to -12.2%
Medium-term
-30.8% to -15.3%
Long-term
-38.4% to -18.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 5

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.7/100
Target Upside+61.2%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score89.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+3.3%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+280.0%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.15)
Relative Strength vs Sector+306.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+2.665
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P4
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P16
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 58 relative to sector peers58/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 5th percentileP5
Blended score: 80% fundamental (58) + 20% ML (5) = 47.447.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 19% โ†’ 0.0pt; Positive momentum 330% โ†’ -5.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +0.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -1.1pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -5.7pt (ML 53pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $1.2B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Speculative: ANOMALY_MARGIN, SPEC_MICRO (7.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #229 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
AMLX27.3N/A-77.1%22448.4%$1.2B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Amylyx Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing various therapeutics for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and other neurodegenerative diseases. The company's product pipeline includes AMX0035, a dual UPR-Bax apoptosis inhibitor composed of sodium phenylbutyrate and taurursodiol for the treatment of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis. It is also developing AMX0035 for other neurodegenerative diseases. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

CEO
Joshua Cohen
Employees
123
Beta
-0.30
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
72.5
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-12.8%
High: $17.49
From 52W Low
+486.9%
Low: $2.6
Moving Averages
10-Day
$14.30
Above
20-Day
$14.30
Above
50-Day
$13.60
Above
200-Day
$10.90
Above
60-Day Support
$10.83
60-Day Resistance
$17.49
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+40%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+36.34%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.5x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$-665,000
Gross Profit$-20M$-141,000$0$-665,000
Operating Income$-36M$-43M$-38M$-41M
Net Income$-34M$-41M$-36M$-38M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.37$-0.46$-0.42$-0.55
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

HealthcareProfit margin 22448.4%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 75/100Score impact: -19.7pt

Volume
100
1.5M avg/day
Dollar Vol
81
$21M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
43
$1.2B
Range
100
573% spread
Composite Liquidity Score75/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2022$6.51$39.78143.7%Wide
2023$11.82$41.93112%Wide
2024$1.58$19.95170.6%Wide
2025$2.60$16.96146.8%Wide
3-Year Range
185.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 4
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
573.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.