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30

ELVN

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Enliven Therapeutics, Inc.

Conservative #1081Aggressive #803Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 38pt
$29.62+1.16%
Day High$29.78
Day Low$28.52
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$1.8B
52W Low $1352W High $30
Market Cap
$1.7B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-24.4%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

ELVN scores 30.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (28%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (23.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-6.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score30.2
Fundamental Score34.3
ML Score28.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
19.8
6 Month
22.2
Primary
1 Year
23.3

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $1.5B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
72
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
82
Grade A
Base
33.1
SHAP
+0.2
Factors
-0.5
Conviction
-2.6
Final
30.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

31AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth22
Stability63
Investment11

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)44.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)69.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-8.4% to -2.9%
Medium-term
-11.2% to -3.2%
Long-term
-14.0% to -3.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 28

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+59.2%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score71.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-3.5%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.89)
Relative Strength vs Sector+3.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.2)
Momentum Quality+0.186
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P38
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 34 relative to sector peers34/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 28th percentileP28
Blended score: 80% fundamental (34) + 20% ML (28) = 33.033.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 34% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -2.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $1.5B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #196 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ELVN30.2N/A0.0%0.0%$1.7B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy5 analysts
Buy: 5
Price Target
$43consensus
Low $39Median $39High $52
+46.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Enliven Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery and development of small molecule inhibitors to help patients with cancer. Its pipeline of small molecule kinase inhibitors include ELVN-001, which is being evaluated in a Phase 1 clinical trial in adults with chronic myeloid leukemia; and ELVN-002, a Phase 1 clinical trial has been activated to evaluate people with cancers harboring an abnormal HER2 gene. The company is based in Boulder, Colorado.

CEO
Richard A. Fair
Employees
62
Beta
1.14
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
63.1
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-2%
High: $30.22
From 52W Low
+122.7%
Low: $13.3
Moving Averages
10-Day
$27.30
Above
20-Day
$27.50
Above
50-Day
$23.40
Above
200-Day
$21.00
Above
60-Day Support
$14.79
60-Day Resistance
$30.22
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 82/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+41%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.86%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.61x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
34
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-25M$-29M$-32M$-27M
Net Income$-20M$-25M$-29M$-23M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.32$-0.49$-0.57$-0.46
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 82/100Score impact: -26.8pt

Volume
100
1.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
85
$28M/day
Float
64
34M shares
Mkt Cap
53
$1.7B
Range
100
127% spread
Composite Liquidity Score82/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$8.56$55.92146.9%Wide
2022$3.90$21.04137.4%Wide
2023$9.80$25.3488.4%Wide
2024$10.90$30.0393.5%Wide
2025$13.30$25.3762.4%Wide
3-Year Range
101.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
56.7%
Outstanding Shares
59M
Bid-Ask Spread
127.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.