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67

MANH

💻 Technology

Manhattan Associates, Inc.

Conservative #153Aggressive #400Moderate RiskMixed 59ML↑ 21pt
$135.30+1.46%
Day High$135.69
Day Low$131.69
Volume0.4M
Mkt Cap$8.2B
52W Low $12852W High $247
Market Cap
$8.5B
P/E Ratio
39.0
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
3.7%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
0.7%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.18

Why This Score

MANH scores 66.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 69.9% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 20.3%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (93/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Minor adjustments (-2.9 points) applied. MANH's rank of #153 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score66.8
Fundamental Score58.8
ML Score93.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
73.3
6 Month
81.9
Primary
1 Year
86.2

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
61
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
68
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
90
Grade A
Base
65.7
SHAP
+2.2
Factors
+1.8
Divergence
-2.9
Final
66.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value55
Quality85
Growth60
Stability90
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)65.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)42.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.1% to +6.8%
Medium-term
+3.9% to +11.0%
Long-term
+5.7% to +15.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 93

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score68.3/100
Target Upside+77.1%
Coverage15 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+14.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.59)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.1)
Momentum Quality-0.132
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
13%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P28
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P33
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P55
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 87th percentileP87
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (66.8) + 9% ML (87.4) + SHAP(+2.4) = 71.1—
Factor quality: +1.9pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 6.7%. Stability bonus of +8.5 points. Max drawdown 36% (-11.2 pts). Price momentum -21% (-3.1 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($8.5B market cap)+0.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.5pt (ML 21pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-20.2%) — earnings quality concern; R&D-adjusted ROIC: 442.0% (original: 663.1%). Software - Application has ~20% R&D intensity. Capitalizing R&D over 5 years increases invested capital by ~50%.Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #36 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MANH66.839.03.7%20.3%$8.5B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy15 analysts
Buy: 11Hold: 4
Price Target
$232consensus
Low $165Median $240High $250
+71.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Manhattan Associates, Inc. develops, sells, deploys, services, and maintains software solutions to manage supply chains, inventory, and omni-channel operations. It offers Manhattan SCALE, a portfolio of logistics execution solutions that provide trading partner management, yard management, optimization, warehouse management, and transportation execution services; and Manhattan Active, a set of enterprise and store omni-channel solutions. The company also provides inventory optimization, planning, and allocation solutions; maintenance services comprising customer support services and software enhancements; professional services, such as solutions planning and implementation, and related consulting services; and training and change management services. In addition, it resells computer hardware, radio frequency terminal networks, radio frequency identification chip readers, bar code printers and scanners, and other peripherals. The company offers products through direct sales personnel, as well as through partnership agreements with various organizations. It serves grocery, food and beverage, manufacturing, medical and pharmaceutical, retail, third-party logistics, and wholesale industries. The company operates in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. Manhattan Associates, Inc. was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

CEO
Eric A. Clark
Employees
4,690
Beta
1.03
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
46.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-45.3%
High: $247.22
From 52W Low
+5.8%
Low: $127.86
Moving Averages
10-Day
$139.20
Below
20-Day
$143.30
Below
50-Day
$161.20
Below
200-Day
$188.60
Below
60-Day Support
$127.86
60-Day Resistance
$182.39
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 16/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-28.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-1.4%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.07x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
86
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$270M$276M$272M$263M
Gross Profit$147M$154M$155M$148M
Operating Income$67M$76M$74M$63M
Net Income$52M$59M$57M$53M
EPS (Diluted)$0.86$0.96$0.93$0.85
Gross Margin54.4%56.0%56.8%56.4%
Operating Margin24.8%27.5%27.1%24.0%
Net Margin19.2%21.3%20.8%20.0%

Why This Stock

TechnologyProfit margin 20.3%Earnings quality grade B

Tradability FilterGrade A — 90/100Score impact: -3.9pt

Volume
89
726K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$94M/day
Float
84
59M shares
Mkt Cap
75
$8.5B
Range
100
93% spread
Composite Liquidity Score90/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$110.11$188.5252.5%Wide
2022$106.02$155.8138%Wide
2023$113.43$230.6168.1%Wide
2024$199.23$312.6044.3%Wide
2025$140.81$299.2772%Wide
3-Year Range
93.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
98.2%
Outstanding Shares
60M
Bid-Ask Spread
93.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.