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14

REPL

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Replimune Group, Inc.

Conservative #1343Aggressive #1216High RiskModerate 76
$7.69-6.22%
Day High$8.21
Day Low$7.68
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$635M
52W Low $352W High $14
Market Cap
$713M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-14.6%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.37

Why This Score

REPL scores 14.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (76/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (41.5%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-4.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score14.3
Fundamental Score20.6
ML Score6.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
14.0
6 Month
15.7
Primary
1 Year
16.5

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.7B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
1.9%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
70
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
79
Grade B
Base
15.7
SHAP
-0.4
Factors
-1.0
Final
14.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

27AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth29
Stability39
Investment10

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)44.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)35.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-16.3% to -9.0%
Medium-term
-21.5% to -11.3%
Long-term
-26.7% to -13.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 6

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score70.0/100
Target Upside+62.7%
Coverage15 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score58.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.4%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.4%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-84.7%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.78)
Relative Strength vs Sector-61.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.9)
Momentum Quality-0.159
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P2
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 21 relative to sector peers21/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 6th percentileP6
Blended score: 80% fundamental (21) + 20% ML (6) = 17.717.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.4%; Drawdown 57% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.7B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #312 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
REPL14.3N/A0.0%0.0%$713M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy15 analysts
Buy: 12Hold: 3
Price Target
$14consensus
Low $11Median $13High $18
+78.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Replimune Group, Inc., a biotechnology company, develops oncolytic immuno-gene therapies to treat cancer. It uses its proprietary Immunotherapy platform to design and develop product candidates that are intended to activate the immune system against cancer. The company's lead product candidate is RP1, a selectively replicating version of herpes simplex virus 1, which is in Phase I/II clinical trials for a range of solid tumors; and that is in Phase II clinical trials for patients with cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma. It is also developing RP2, which is in Phase I clinical trials for an anti-CTLA-4 antibody-like protein in order to block the inhibition of the immune response otherwise caused by CTLA-4; and RP3 that is in Phase I clinical trials to express immune-activating proteins that stimulate T cells. Replimune Group, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Woburn, Massachusetts.

CEO
Sushil Patel
Employees
479
Beta
0.75
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.1
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-45%
High: $13.99
From 52W Low
+186.9%
Low: $2.68
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.10
Below
20-Day
$7.70
Below
50-Day
$8.30
Below
200-Day
$7.80
Below
60-Day Support
$6.77
60-Day Resistance
$11.26
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 22/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
-1.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-6.24%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.99x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
1
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$-848,000
Operating Income$-72M$-84M$-90M$-80M
Net Income$-71M$-83M$-87M$-74M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.77$-0.90$-0.95$-0.96
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 79/100Score impact: -19.1pt

Volume
100
1.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
64
$12M/day
Float
91
77M shares
Mkt Cap
34
$713M
Range
100
438% spread
Composite Liquidity Score79/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
92.8%
Outstanding Shares
83M
Bid-Ask Spread
438.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.