Back to Dashboard
33

HTFL

🏥 Healthcare

Heartflow, Inc. Common Stock

Conservative #1020Aggressive #1073Moderate RiskLow 38F↑ 23pt
$23.00+1.01%
Day High$23.07
Day Low$22.39
Volume0.9M
Mkt Cap$2.0B
52W Low $2052W High $41
Market Cap
$2.1B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
44.3%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-0.8%
Profit Margin
-72.8%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.09

Why This Score

HTFL scores 33.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 18.1% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.09) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-9.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score33.3
Fundamental Score43.3
ML Score16.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
35.5
6 Month
39.6
Primary
1 Year
41.7

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
86
Grade A
Base
37.9
SHAP
-2.6
Factors
+1.0
Conviction
-1.1
Divergence
-1.8
Final
33.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-9.0% to -3.9%
Medium-term
-12.1% to -4.7%
Long-term
-15.2% to -5.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 16

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P81
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P49
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 69 relative to sector peers69/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 45th percentileP45
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: -2.6pt (features diverge from model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (68.7) + 9% ML (44.1) + SHAP(-2.6) = 63.9—
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 20.0%Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.1B market cap)-4.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.2pt (conviction=38)—
Divergence penalty: -1.9pt (fund 23pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -18 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (-36.5%) exceeds net margin (-72.8%) by 36pp — possible write-down; High accrual ratio (53.0%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #184 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HTFL33.3N/A44.3%-72.8%$2.1B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy3 analysts
Buy: 3
Price Target
$36consensus
Low $35Median $35High $38
+57.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

HeartFlow, Inc., a medical technology company, provides non-invasive solutions for diagnosing and managing coronary artery diseases worldwide. Its HeartFlow Platform uses AI and computational fluid dynamics to creates a personalized 3D model of a patient's heart from a single coronary computed tomography angiography, a specialized type of scan that provides detailed images of the heart's arteries. The company's platform provides insights on blood flow, stenosis, and plaque volume and composition by overcoming the limitations of traditional non-invasive imaging tests. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.

CEO
John Farquhar
Employees
626
Beta
6.04
Industry
Medical - Healthcare Information Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
38.5
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-44.2%
High: $41.22
From 52W Low
+14.3%
Low: $20.13
Moving Averages
10-Day
$23.30
Below
20-Day
$26.00
Below
50-Day
$29.10
Below
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$20.13
60-Day Resistance
$37.24

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q2 2024
Revenue$46M$43M$37M$31M
Gross Profit$35M$33M$28M$24M
Operating Income$-15M$-14M$-18M$-14M
Net Income$-51M$-9M$-32M$-23M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.61$-0.11$-0.35$-0.37
Gross Margin76.5%75.5%75.1%76.8%
Operating Margin-32.6%-31.6%-47.0%-45.7%
Net Margin-109.9%-21.2%-86.9%-75.3%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 44.3%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 86/100Score impact: -5.9pt

Volume
100
1.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
84
$26M/day
Float
81
54M shares
Mkt Cap
58
$2.1B
Range
100
105% spread
Composite Liquidity Score86/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
63.0%
Outstanding Shares
85M
Bid-Ask Spread
105.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.