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25

HDL

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

SUPER HI INTERNATIONAL HOLDING Ltd. American Depositary Shares

Conservative #1190Aggressive #1273Moderate RiskHigh 83
$17.20-0.35%
Day High$17.27
Day Low$16.82
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$1.0B
52W Low $1652W High $29
Market Cap
$990M
P/E Ratio
50.1
Sector avg: 36.9
Rev Growth
13.4%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
-15.0%
Profit Margin
2.5%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.58

Why This Score

HDL scores 25.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (5.6% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • High conviction (83/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 50.1x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, HDL would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score25.2
Fundamental Score47.8
ML Score40.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.1
6 Month
79.5
Primary
1 Year
83.7

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-222.3%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
38
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
21.2
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.1
Conviction
+1.1
Final
25.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

55AVG
Value44
Quality40
Growth42
Stability69
Investment81

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)48.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)66.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.7% to +7.4%
Medium-term
+4.7% to +11.9%
Long-term
+7.1% to +16.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 40

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score37.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-19.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.33)
Relative Strength vs Sector-30.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality-0.202
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P82
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P11
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P60
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
+0.6ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 40th percentileP40
Blended score: 80% fundamental (48) + 20% ML (40) = 46.246.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 31% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.1pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-222.3%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #102 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HDL25.250.113.4%2.5%$990M
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$93.0B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$31.0B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.8B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$77.0B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.1B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.0B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$9.9B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$39.7B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.2B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.8B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.2B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.2B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Company Overviewvia FMP

Super Hi International Holding Ltd., an investment holding company, operates Haidilao-branded Chinese cuisine restaurants in Asia, North America, Europe, Oceania, and internationally. The company is involved in the food delivery business. It also engages in the sale of hot pot condiment products and food. The company was incorporated in 2022 and is headquartered in Singapore.

CEO
Lijuan Yang
Employees
13,057
Beta
0.54
Industry
Restaurants
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
58.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-40.4%
High: $28.88
From 52W Low
+8.7%
Low: $15.83
Moving Averages
10-Day
$17.30
Below
20-Day
$16.90
Above
50-Day
$16.70
Above
200-Day
$18.50
Below
60-Day Support
$15.83
60-Day Resistance
$18.33
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 7/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-8.9%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.18x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap UpRecent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$214M$199M$198M$210M
Gross Profit$72M$51M$55M$66M
Operating Income$13M$39M$47M$55M
Net Income$4M$16M$12M$-11M
EPS (Diluted)$0.06$0.25$0.02$-0.02
Gross Margin33.5%25.7%27.9%31.2%
Operating Margin6.0%19.6%23.6%25.9%
Net Margin1.7%8.3%6.0%-5.4%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalRevenue growth 13.4%Valuation below sector median (P/E 50.1)

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -28.5pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
2K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$31K/day
Float
0
59M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$990M
Range
0
82% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 2/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2024$13.94$30.0073.1%Wide
2025$16.06$29.9460.3%Wide
3-Year Range
73.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 2
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.7%
Outstanding Shares
59M
Bid-Ask Spread
82.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.