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52

HBCP

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Home Bancorp, Inc.

Conservative #568Aggressive #955Low RiskMLโ†‘ 22pt
$61.54+0.49%
Day High$62.57
Day Low$60.84
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$482M
52W Low $4052W High $64
Market Cap
$486M
P/E Ratio
10.4
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
4.9%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
26.5%
Profit Margin
22.0%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.13

Why This Score

HBCP scores 52.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 22.0%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 10.4x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (4.5% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (34%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, HBCP would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.3
Fundamental Score73.6
ML Score72.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
82.6
6 Month
92.3
Primary
1 Year
97.2

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
56
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, low dollar volume
Base
48.3
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Final
52.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

70AVG
Value86
Quality48
Growth65
Stability90
Investment61

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)71.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)85.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)58.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+7.9% to +13.5%
Medium-term
+12.6% to +21.1%
Long-term
+19.2% to +31.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 72

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside-15.7%
Coverage3 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score55.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+23.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.31)
Relative Strength vs Sector+24.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.320
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
27%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P52
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P81
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P69
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 74 relative to sector peers74/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 72th percentileP72
Blended score: 80% fundamental (74) + 20% ML (72) = 73.373.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 5% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #173 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HBCP52.310.44.9%22.0%$486M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$112.1B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.2B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.8B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$10.1B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$21.1B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.4B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.8B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.1B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$16.0B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.6B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.3B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy3 analysts
Buy: 3
Price Target
$50consensus
Low $50Median $50High $50
-18.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Home Bancorp, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Home Bank, National Association that provides various banking products and services in Louisiana and Mississippi. It offers deposit products, including interest-bearing and noninterest-bearing checking, money market, savings, NOW, and certificates of deposit accounts. The company also provides various loan products, such as one-to four-family first mortgage loans, home equity loans and lines, commercial real estate loans, construction and land loans, multi-family residential loans, commercial and industrial loans, and consumer loans. In addition, it invests in securities; and offers credit cards and online banking services. The company operates through a network of 19 banking offices in the Acadiana, four banking offices in Baton Rouge, six banking offices in the Greater New Orleans area, six banking offices in the Northshore region, and three banking offices in Natchez. Home Bancorp, Inc. was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Lafayette, Louisiana.

CEO
John W. Bordelon
Employees
471
Beta
0.59
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
46.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-4.1%
High: $64.17
From 52W Low
+55.4%
Low: $39.59
Moving Averages
10-Day
$60.80
Above
20-Day
$61.10
Above
50-Day
$60.30
Above
200-Day
$55.40
Above
60-Day Support
$55.2
60-Day Resistance
$64.17
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 79/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+11.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+7.93%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.55x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Breakout Volume Confirmed

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$53M$53M$52M$51M
Gross Profit$38M$38M$38M$35M
Operating Income$15M$16M$14M$14M
Net Income$11M$12M$11M$11M
EPS (Diluted)$1.46$1.59$1.45$1.37
Gross Margin71.3%71.9%71.7%69.1%
Operating Margin27.5%29.3%27.1%26.9%
Net Margin21.6%23.3%21.6%21.4%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 10.4Profit margin 22.0%Valuation below sector median (P/E 10.4)

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -11.1pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
31K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$2M/day
Float
0
7M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$486M
Range
0
62% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 1/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$32.35$43.8430.2%Moderate
2022$33.16$45.7331.9%Moderate
2023$27.75$44.0045.3%Wide
2024$33.30$52.3944.6%Wide
2025$39.59$62.1544.3%Wide
3-Year Range
76.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
86.1%
Outstanding Shares
8M
Bid-Ask Spread
62.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.