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CIVB

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Civista Bancshares, Inc.

Conservative #546Aggressive #615Low RiskMixed 59MLโ†‘ 20pt
$24.49+0.16%
Day High$24.61
Day Low$24.11
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$473M
52W Low $1752W High $26
Market Cap
$468M
P/E Ratio
10.7
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
5.4%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
45.9%
Profit Margin
18.3%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.52

Why This Score

CIVB scores 52.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 10.7x earnings, below the market average.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (20%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -15.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CIVB would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.9
Fundamental Score61.3
ML Score75.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
70.6
6 Month
78.9
Primary
1 Year
83.1

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
53
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
66
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
32
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
48.9
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Final
52.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)68.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)78.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)67.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.0% to +6.8%
Medium-term
+4.0% to +11.2%
Long-term
+5.9% to +15.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 75

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.6/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage8 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score52.6/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+5.1%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.75)
Relative Strength vs Sector+11.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.7)
Momentum Quality+0.171
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
20%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P54
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P78
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P56
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 63 relative to sector peers63/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 84th percentileP84
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (63.4) + 9% ML (83.8) + SHAP(+3.7) = 68.9โ€”
Factor quality: +1.2pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 7.7%. Max drawdown 16% (-3.2 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -20.0 points ($0.5B market cap)-20.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.5pt (ML 20pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-174.4%) โ€” earnings quality concern; CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure โ€” forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #170 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CIVB52.910.75.4%18.3%$468M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$112.1B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.2B
ACT84.48.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.8B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$10.1B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$21.1B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.4B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.8B
FFIN77.418.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
NMIH77.07.78.4%55.1%$3.1B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$16.0B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.6B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.3B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy8 analysts
Buy: 5Hold: 3
Price Target
$24consensus
Low $21Median $24High $27
-2.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Civista Bancshares, Inc. operates as the financial holding company for Civista Bank that provides community banking services. It collects a range of customer deposits; and offers commercial and agriculture, commercial and residential real estate, farm real estate, real estate construction, consumer, and other loans, as well as letters of credit. The company also purchases securities; and provides trust and third-party insurance services. It operates approximately 42 locations in Northern, Central, Southwestern, and Northwestern Ohio, as well as Southeastern Indiana and Northern Kentucky. The company was formerly known as First Citizens Banc Corp and changed its name to Civista Bancshares, Inc. in May 2015. Civista Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Sandusky, Ohio.

CEO
Dennis G. Shaffer
Employees
520
Beta
0.67
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
43.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-4.6%
High: $25.59
From 52W Low
+39.8%
Low: $17.47
Moving Averages
10-Day
$24.10
Above
20-Day
$24.30
Above
50-Day
$23.50
Above
200-Day
$22.10
Above
60-Day Support
$21.69
60-Day Resistance
$25.4
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 69/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+10.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.44%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.76x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
87
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$66M$64M$62M$61M
Gross Profit$46M$43M$40M$38M
Operating Income$15M$16M$13M$12M
Net Income$12M$13M$11M$10M
EPS (Diluted)$0.61$0.68$0.71$0.66
Gross Margin69.7%67.2%63.8%63.1%
Operating Margin22.5%24.5%20.7%19.6%
Net Margin18.7%20.0%17.7%16.7%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 10.7Profit margin 18.3%Valuation below sector median (P/E 10.7)

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 32/100Score impact: -12.6pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
19
106K avg/day
Dollar Vol
19
$3M/day
Float
46
19M shares
Mkt Cap
26
$468M
Range
83
46% spread
Composite Liquidity Score32/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 18/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$19.23$25.9429.7%Moderate
2022$20.10$25.8725.1%Moderate
2023$14.02$22.6747.2%Wide
2024$13.60$23.7054.2%Wide
2025$17.47$25.5937.7%Wide
3-Year Range
61.2%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
97.7%
Outstanding Shares
19M
Bid-Ask Spread
46.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.