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48

KRNY

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Kearny Financial Corp.

Conservative #650Aggressive #843Low RiskLow 20MLโ†‘ 40pt
$7.92-0.63%
Day High$7.97
Day Low$7.86
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$498M
52W Low $552W High $9
Market Cap
$516M
P/E Ratio
15.9
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
N/A
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Profit Margin
9.4%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
2.63

Why This Score

KRNY scores 48.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (25%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 2.63) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-5.6 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score48.6
Fundamental Score54.2
ML Score35.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
68.5
6 Month
76.6
Primary
1 Year
80.6

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
60
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
58
Grade Clow dollar volume, small cap
Base
45.2
SHAP
+3.3
Factors
+0.7
Divergence
-0.6
Final
48.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)39.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)84.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage88%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.1% to +6.8%
Medium-term
+4.0% to +11.3%
Long-term
+6.0% to +15.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 35

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score60.0/100
Target Upside+15.4%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score58.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-0.4%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.99)
Relative Strength vs Sector+16.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality+0.233
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
17%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P47
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P61
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 40 relative to sector peers40/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 80th percentileP80
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +5.0pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (40.3) + 9% ML (78.1) + SHAP(+5.0) = 48.7โ€”
Factor quality: +1.1pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 7.0%. Max drawdown 8% (-0.1 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.5B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -2.9pt (conviction=20)โ€”
Divergence penalty: -4.6pt (ML 40pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -10 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-25.7%) โ€” earnings quality concern; CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure โ€” forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentals; High leverage: D/E ratio of 2.6x โ€” elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #193 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
KRNY48.615.9N/A9.4%$516M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$112.1B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.2B
ACT84.48.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.8B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$10.1B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$21.1B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.4B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.8B
FFIN77.418.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
NMIH77.07.78.4%55.1%$3.1B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$16.0B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.6B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.3B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Kearny Financial Corp. operates as the holding company for Kearny Bank that provides various banking products and services in the United States. The company offers various deposit products, including interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing checking accounts, money market deposit accounts, savings accounts, and certificates of deposit accounts. It also provides various loans, such as multi-family and nonresidential real estate mortgage loans, commercial term loans and lines of credit, one- to four-family first mortgage loans, and home equity loans and lines of credit; loans to individuals for the construction or renovation of one- to four-family residences, or for the construction of commercial real estate or multi-family residential buildings; overdraft lines of credit; and personal loans. In addition, the company engages in investment activities. As of August 18, 2021, it operated a total of 48 branch offices located throughout northern and central New Jersey and Brooklyn and Staten Island, New York. The company was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Fairfield, New Jersey.

CEO
Craig L. Montanaro
Employees
552
Beta
0.67
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
44.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.8%
High: $8.5
From 52W Low
+45.3%
Low: $5.45
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.00
Below
20-Day
$8.00
Below
50-Day
$7.80
Above
200-Day
$6.80
Above
60-Day Support
$6.81
60-Day Resistance
$8.5
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 76/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+16.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.49%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.71x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
65
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$86M$88M$85M$84M
Gross Profit$43M$44M$39M$38M
Operating Income$12M$12M$8M$8M
Net Income$9M$10M$7M$7M
EPS (Diluted)$0.15$0.15$0.11$0.11
Gross Margin49.8%49.4%45.7%45.6%
Operating Margin13.7%13.5%9.6%9.4%
Net Margin11.0%10.8%7.9%7.9%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 15.9

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 58/100Score impact: +2.0pt

Volume
70
405K avg/day
Dollar Vol
27
$3M/day
Float
84
59M shares
Mkt Cap
29
$516M
Range
88
56% spread
Composite Liquidity Score58/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$11.09$13.8822.3%Narrow
2022$9.02$13.8942.5%Wide
2023$6.45$10.5147.9%Wide
2024$5.28$9.0452.5%Wide
2025$5.45$7.9537.3%Wide
3-Year Range
66.2%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
94.5%
Outstanding Shares
63M
Bid-Ask Spread
56.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.