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70

IBOC

🏦 Financial Services

International Bancshares Corporation

Conservative #106Aggressive #609Low RiskHigh 100
$69.86+1.45%
Day High$70.55
Day Low$68.72
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$4.3B
52W Low $5452W High $75
Market Cap
$4.4B
P/E Ratio
10.6
Sector avg: 50.1
Rev Growth
7.5%
Sector avg: 13.3%
Earnings Growth
-0.6%
Profit Margin
40.1%
Sector avg: -2.1%
Debt/Equity
0.25

Why This Score

IBOC scores 69.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 40.1%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 10.6x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (3.7% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (11%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (100/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Moderate penalties (-4.6 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score69.7
Fundamental Score76.4
ML Score44.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
77.8
6 Month
87.0
Primary
1 Year
91.5

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
52
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
71
Grade B
Base
67.7
SHAP
+1.7
Factors
+0.5
Conviction
+1.4
Divergence
-2.6
BL Weight
+1.0
Final
69.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)71.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)79.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.1% to +8.0%
Medium-term
+5.6% to +13.0%
Long-term
+8.1% to +18.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 44

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+24.9%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score52.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+8.2%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.25)
Relative Strength vs Sector+2.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (3.0)
Momentum Quality+0.103
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
21%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P60
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P69
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P76
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 81 relative to sector peers81/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 76th percentileP76
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (81.0) + 9% ML (76.5) + SHAP(+4.4) = 85.0
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 3.7%. Stability bonus of +12.0 pointsLow
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.4B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.6pt (conviction=100)
BL portfolio bonus: +1.0pt (weight=4.9%)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #26 of 365 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
IBOC69.710.67.5%40.1%$4.4B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.550.113.3%-2.1%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Price Target
$85consensus
Low $85Median $85High $85
+21.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

International Bancshares Corporation, a financial holding company, provides commercial and retail banking services. It accepts checking and saving deposits; and offers commercial, real estate, personal, home improvement, automobile, and other installment and term loans. The company also provides international banking services, including letters of credit, commercial and industrial loans, and foreign exchange services. In addition, it offers other banking related services, such as credit cards, safety deposit boxes, collection, notary public, escrow, drive up and walk up facilities, and other customary banking services; and Internet banking services, as well as securities products through third party providers. As of February 28, 2022, the company had 170 branch facilities and 263 ATMs serving 76 communities in Texas and Oklahoma. International Bancshares Corporation was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Laredo, Texas.

CEO
Mike K. Sohn
Employees
2,103
Beta
0.73
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
29.4
Oversold
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-7.4%
High: $75.44
From 52W Low
+29.1%
Low: $54.11
Moving Averages
10-Day
$71.10
Below
20-Day
$71.60
Below
50-Day
$70.30
Below
200-Day
$68.30
Above
60-Day Support
$65.45
60-Day Resistance
$75.44
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 62/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+2.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+3.61%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.02x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
37
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$273M$262M$252M$263M
Gross Profit$216M$204M$195M$207M
Operating Income$136M$126M$121M$134M
Net Income$108M$100M$97M$115M
EPS (Diluted)$1.74$1.61$1.56$1.85
Gross Margin79.3%77.9%77.4%78.7%
Operating Margin50.1%48.1%48.1%50.8%
Net Margin39.8%38.3%38.5%43.8%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 10.6Profit margin 40.1%

Tradability FilterGrade B — 71/100Score impact: +4.6pt

Volume
58
275K avg/day
Dollar Vol
78
$19M/day
Float
82
56M shares
Mkt Cap
66
$4.4B
Range
78
39% spread
Composite Liquidity Score71/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$37.72$53.0633.8%Moderate
2022$38.00$53.7134.3%Moderate
2023$39.10$54.7233.3%Moderate
2024$48.85$76.9144.6%Wide
2025$54.11$73.6630.6%Moderate
3-Year Range
65.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
89.4%
Outstanding Shares
62M
Bid-Ask Spread
39.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.