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53

GH

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Guardant Health, Inc.

Conservative #492Aggressive #236Moderate RiskModerate 76
$95.27-0.14%
Day High$97.19
Day Low$94.04
Volume1.6M
Mkt Cap$12.4B
52W Low $3552W High $121
Market Cap
$13.4B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
32.9%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
4.6%
Profit Margin
-42.4%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

GH scores 52.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 164.9% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -16.94) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (76/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (146%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Above-average volatility (24.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-3.0 points) applied. GH's rank of #492 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.7
Fundamental Score51.4
ML Score59.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
46.2
6 Month
51.6
Primary
1 Year
54.3

Quality Assessment

C
Earnings Grade
Mixed fundamentals, potential quality issues
Quality Flags
Negative ROIC (-25.5%) with high ROE (164.9%) โ€” capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.2%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
79
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
97
Grade A
Base
49.9
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.0
Final
52.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)76.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)82.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.7% to +2.4%
Medium-term
-2.0% to +4.2%
Long-term
-2.3% to +6.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 59

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.5/100
Target Upside+33.3%
Coverage30 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score79.0/100
News Volume2 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+1.5%
6M Momentum+0.6%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+90.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.38)
Relative Strength vs Sector+122.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.153
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P78
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P50
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 67 relative to sector peers67/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 55th percentileP55
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (67.0) + 9% ML (51.8) + SHAP(+1.8) = 67.5โ€”
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 24.8%. Max drawdown 21% (-5.3 pts)Moderate
Momentum mean-reversion: -3.3pt (146% 12m momentum)โ€”
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($13.4B market cap)+2.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by -16 pointsGrade C
Quality concern: Negative ROIC (-25.5%) with high ROE (164.9%) โ€” capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain); High accrual ratio (58.6%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #66 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GH52.7N/A32.9%-42.4%$13.4B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Guardant Health, Inc., a precision oncology company, provides blood tests, data sets, and analytics in the United States and internationally. The company offers Guardant360, Guardant360 LDT, Guardant360 CDx, and GuardantOMNI liquid biopsy-based tests for advanced stage cancer; and GuardantINFORM, an in-silico research platform that comprise a clinical-genomic liquid biopsy dataset of advanced cancer patients. It is also developing LUNAR-2 test for the early detection of colorectal cancer in asymptomatic individuals eligible; and GuardantConnect, an integrated software-based solution for clinical and biopharmaceutical customers seeking to connect patients tested with the Guardant360 assay with actionable alterations with potentially relevant clinical trials. In addition, the company offers Guardant Reveal Test for neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatment selection in early-stage cancer patients; Guardant360 tissue genotyping product; and Guardant-19 for use in the detection of the novel coronavirus. Further, it offers development services, including companion diagnostic development and regulatory approval, clinical study setup, monitoring and maintenance, testing development and support, and kits fulfillment related services to biopharmaceutical companies and medical institutions. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Redwood City, California.

CEO
Helmy Eltoukhy
Employees
1,999
Beta
1.65
Industry
Medical - Diagnostics & Research
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
36.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-21.1%
High: $120.74
From 52W Low
+173.1%
Low: $34.88
Moving Averages
10-Day
$102.40
Below
20-Day
$105.20
Below
50-Day
$106.00
Below
200-Day
$73.80
Above
60-Day Support
$93.79
60-Day Resistance
$120.74
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 89/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+29.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+33.53%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.06x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$281M$265M$232M$203M
Gross Profit$182M$172M$151M$129M
Operating Income$-121M$-99M$-106M$-111M
Net Income$-128M$-93M$-100M$-95M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.00$-0.74$-0.80$-0.77
Gross Margin64.6%64.7%65.0%63.3%
Operating Margin-43.0%-37.3%-45.9%-54.6%
Net Margin-45.7%-35.0%-43.0%-46.8%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 32.9%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 97/100Score impact: -19.7pt

Volume
100
2.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$197M/day
Float
100
126M shares
Mkt Cap
81
$13.4B
Range
100
246% spread
Composite Liquidity Score97/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$85.41$169.4365.9%Wide
2022$24.63$102.85122.7%Wide
2023$20.67$41.0666.1%Wide
2024$15.81$38.5383.6%Wide
2025$30.97$112.43113.6%Wide
3-Year Range
150.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
96.8%
Outstanding Shares
130M
Bid-Ask Spread
246.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.