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35

FOLD

🏥 Healthcare

Amicus Therapeutics, Inc.

Conservative #990Aggressive #570Moderate RiskLow 29ML↑ 36pt
$14.34-0.14%
Day High$14.36
Day Low$14.34
Volume2.6M
Mkt Cap$4.5B
52W Low $652W High $14
Market Cap
$4.5B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
20.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
51.7%
Profit Margin
-4.3%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
1.61

Why This Score

FOLD scores 34.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (16.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.61) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-4.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score34.7
Fundamental Score35.7
ML Score27.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
69.3
6 Month
77.4
Primary
1 Year
81.5

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $4.5B biotech/pharma — limited product diversification

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.8%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
64
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
66
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
95
Grade A
Base
37.8
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
+1.6
Conviction
-2.0
Divergence
-3.9
Final
34.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)59.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)81.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)67.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+6.6% to +12.2%
Medium-term
+10.9% to +19.4%
Long-term
+16.7% to +28.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 27

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.6/100
Target Upside-0.1%
Coverage24 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score63.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+0.9%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-37.7%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.57)
Relative Strength vs Sector+26.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.0)
Momentum Quality+0.357
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
8%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P68
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P61
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 46 relative to sector peers46/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 82th percentileP82
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (45.8) + 9% ML (79.2) + SHAP(+1.2) = 50.0—
Factor quality: +1.6pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 16.8%. Max drawdown 30% (-8.7 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.5B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -2.0pt (conviction=29)—
Divergence penalty: -3.9pt (ML 36pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -9 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (192.3%) — earnings quality concern; Pipeline concentration: $4.5B biotech/pharma — limited product diversification; High leverage: D/E ratio of 1.6x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #172 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FOLD34.7N/A20.0%-4.3%$4.5B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy24 analysts
Buy: 16Hold: 7Sell: 1
Price Target
$14consensus
Low $14Median $15High $15
-0.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Amicus Therapeutics, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on discovering, developing, and delivering medicines for rare diseases. Its commercial product and product candidates include Galafold, an oral precision medicine for the treatment of adults with a confirmed diagnosis of Fabry disease and an amenable galactosidase alpha gene variant based on in vitro assay data. It also develops AT-GAA, a novel treatment paradigm for Pompe disease; enzyme replacement therapies for Pompe diseases; CLN3, which is in Phase 1/2 clinical study to evaluate the safety and efficacy of a single intrathecal administration of an AAV serotype AT-GTX-502 gene therapy in patients with CLN3; and CDKL5, a gene on the X-chromosome encoding the CDKL5 protein that regulates the expression of essential proteins for normal brain development. The company has collaboration and license agreements with Nationwide Children's Hospital; University of Pennsylvania; and GlaxoSmithKline. Amicus Therapeutics, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

CEO
Bradley L. Campbell
Employees
499
Beta
0.43
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
68.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.3%
High: $14.38
From 52W Low
+160.3%
Low: $5.51
Moving Averages
10-Day
$14.30
Above
20-Day
$14.30
Above
50-Day
$13.90
Above
200-Day
$9.10
Above
60-Day Support
$9.56
60-Day Resistance
$14.38
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+57.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+20.36%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.32x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$185M$169M$155M$125M
Gross Profit$157M$148M$139M$114M
Operating Income$16M$34M$-9M$-8M
Net Income$2M$17M$-24M$-22M
EPS (Diluted)$0.01$0.06$-0.08$-0.07
Gross Margin84.6%87.4%90.2%90.7%
Operating Margin8.6%20.3%-6.1%-6.3%
Net Margin0.9%10.2%-15.8%-17.3%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 20.0%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 95/100Score impact: -16.3pt

Volume
100
11.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$161M/day
Float
100
309M shares
Mkt Cap
66
$4.5B
Range
100
161% spread
Composite Liquidity Score95/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$8.60$12.5337.2%Wide
2022$5.91$12.9674.7%Wide
2023$9.70$14.5740.1%Wide
2024$9.02$14.5346.8%Wide
2025$5.51$14.3689.1%Wide
3-Year Range
90.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
98.6%
Outstanding Shares
314M
Bid-Ask Spread
161.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.