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33

ETON

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Conservative #1014Aggressive #778Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 20pt
$17.25-2.27%
Day High$17.38
Day Low$16.94
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$463M
52W Low $1152W High $23
Market Cap
$455M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
23.3%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-308.4%
Profit Margin
-9.5%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.14

Why This Score

ETON scores 33.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (17.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-5.1 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score33.3
Fundamental Score33.3
ML Score49.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.6
6 Month
80.0
Primary
1 Year
84.2

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
2 quality flags detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (418.9%) โ€” earnings quality concern
Pipeline concentration: $0.5B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
42
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
52
Grade Clow dollar volume, small cap
Base
31.4
SHAP
+0.6
Factors
+1.4
Divergence
-0.1
Final
33.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

45AVG
Value50
Quality4
Growth43
Stability68
Investment61

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)49.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)46.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)61.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.3% to +1.3%
Medium-term
-7.9% to +1.9%
Long-term
-10.5% to +2.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 49

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score42.0/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+10.1%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.16)
Relative Strength vs Sector-15.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.5)
Momentum Quality+0.060
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P73
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P78
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 33 relative to sector peers33/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 49th percentileP49
Blended score: 80% fundamental (33) + 20% ML (49) = 36.436.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 31% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.1pt (ML 16pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (418.9%) โ€” earnings quality concern; Pipeline concentration: $0.5B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #172 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ETON33.3N/A23.3%-9.5%$455M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy6 analysts
Buy: 6
Price Target
$25consensus
Low $15Median $25High $35
+44.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a specialty pharmaceutical company, focuses on developing and commercializing pharmaceutical products for rare diseases. The company offers Biorphen, a phenylephrine injection for the treatment of clinically important hypotension resulting primarily from vasodilation in the setting of anesthesia; Carglumic Acid for the treatment of acute and chronic hyperammonemia due to N-acetylglutamate Synthase deficiency; and Rezipres, a ready-to-use formulation of a molecule that is indicated for the treatment of clinically important hypotension occurring in the setting of anesthesia. It also offers Alkindi Sprinkle, a replacement therapy for adrenocortical insufficiency in children under 17 years of age; EPRONTIA, a liquid formulation of topiramate; and Alaway Preservative Free, a preservative-free ophthalmic product to treat allergic conjunctivitis. In addition, the company develops Zonisamide Oral Suspension for the treatment of partial on-set seizures; Lamotrigine for Oral Suspension for the treatment of partial on-set seizures; cysteine injection; dehydrated alcohol injection; and Zeneo hydrocortisone autoinjector. Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Deer Park, Illinois.

CEO
Sean E. Brynjelsen
Employees
31
Beta
1.22
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
76.2
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-25%
High: $23
From 52W Low
+55.5%
Low: $11.09
Moving Averages
10-Day
$17.60
Below
20-Day
$16.30
Above
50-Day
$16.10
Above
200-Day
$16.80
Above
60-Day Support
$14.27
60-Day Resistance
$19.98
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 51/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1โ†’2
Price vs 200 SMA
+2.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+2.61%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.5x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
10
Confidence: 50%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-25)Breakout Volume Confirmed

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$22M$19M$17M$12M
Gross Profit$8M$12M$10M$6M
Operating Income$-1M$-1M$-470,000$629,000
Net Income$-2M$-3M$-2M$-598,000
EPS (Diluted)$-0.07$-0.10$-0.06$-0.02
Gross Margin35.0%63.0%57.1%55.6%
Operating Margin-6.1%-7.8%-2.7%5.4%
Net Margin-8.6%-13.7%-9.1%-5.1%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 23.3%

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 52/100Score impact: -22.5pt

Volume
54
242K avg/day
Dollar Vol
43
$4M/day
Float
53
23M shares
Mkt Cap
29
$455M
Range
100
107% spread
Composite Liquidity Score52/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumesmall cap

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
84.7%
Outstanding Shares
27M
Bid-Ask Spread
107.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.