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MNPR

🏥 Healthcare

Monopar Therapeutics Inc.

Conservative #1406Aggressive #1169High RiskF↑ 54pt
$54.66-1.73%
Day High$56.77
Day Low$52.82
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$365M
52W Low $2652W High $105
Market Cap
$370M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-85.5%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

MNPR scores 4.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (41.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -39.4 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, MNPR would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score4.3
Fundamental Score35.8
ML Score46.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
5.4
6 Month
6.0
Primary
1 Year
6.3

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality — significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.4B biotech/pharma — likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap — no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
1.9%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
89
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
71
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low float, small cap
Base
9.8
SHAP
+0.2
Factors
-0.9
Conviction
-4.8
Final
4.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

29AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth20
Stability50
Investment18

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)69.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)90.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-19.7% to -11.5%
Medium-term
-27.3% to -15.5%
Long-term
-34.4% to -19.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 46

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score71.2/100
Target Upside+86.3%
Coverage13 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score88.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.6%
6M Momentum+0.6%
Volatility+0.4%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-4.4%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.93)
Relative Strength vs Sector+33.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.4)
Momentum Quality+0.373
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
6%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P44
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 36 relative to sector peers36/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 46th percentileP46
Blended score: 80% fundamental (36) + 20% ML (46) = 37.837.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.4%; Drawdown 36% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered — see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -4.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.4B biotech/pharma — likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Speculative: SPEC_MICRO (3.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #338 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MNPR4.3N/A0.0%0.0%$370M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Monopar Therapeutics Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in developing therapeutics for the treatment of cancer in the United States. Its lead product candidate in development is Validive, a clonidine hydrochloride mucobuccal tablet that is in Phase 2b/3 clinical trial for the prevention of chemoradiotherapy induced severe oral mucositis in patients with oropharyngeal cancer. The company also engages in developing Camsirubicin, an analog of doxorubicin, which is in Phase 1b clinical trial for the treatment of advanced soft tissue sarcoma; MNPR-101, a urokinase plasminogen activator receptor targeted antibody for the treatment of various cancers; MNPR-101 RIT, a radioimmunotherapeutic based on MNPR-101 for the potential treatment of cancer and severe COVID-19; and MNPR-202, an analog of camsirubicin to potentially treat doxorubicin-and camsirubicin-resistant cancers. Monopar Therapeutics Inc. has collaborations with the Grupo Español de Investigación en Sarcomas for the development of camsirubicin in patients with advanced soft tissue sarcoma; NorthStar Medical Radioisotopes, LLC to develop radio-immuno-therapeutics targeting severe COVID-19; and the Cancer Science Institute of Singapore to evaluate the activity of MNPR-202 and related analogs in various types of cancer. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in Wilmette, Illinois.

CEO
Chandler D. Robinson
Employees
14
Beta
1.57
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
43.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-47.9%
High: $105
From 52W Low
+109.7%
Low: $26.06
Moving Averages
10-Day
$55.80
Below
20-Day
$58.40
Below
50-Day
$64.20
Below
200-Day
$58.20
Below
60-Day Support
$51.11
60-Day Resistance
$87.97
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 32/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3→4
Price vs 200 SMA
-6.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+17.87%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.7x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
9
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-4M$-3M$-3M$-11M
Net Income$-3M$-2M$-3M$-11M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.48$-0.35$-0.38$-0.95
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -70.3pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
267K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$15M/day
Float
0
4M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$370M
Range
0
303% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$15.10$41.6593.6%Wide
2022$6.96$24.40111.2%Wide
2023$1.37$19.10173.2%Wide
2024$1.55$38.50184.5%Wide
2025$21.00$105.00133.3%Wide
3-Year Range
194.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
65.8%
Outstanding Shares
7M
Bid-Ask Spread
303.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.