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55

CHCO

🏦 Financial Services

City Holding Company

Conservative #427Aggressive #864Low RiskModerate 65ML↑ 17pt
$122.83+1.27%
Day High$122.88
Day Low$120.68
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$1.8B
52W Low $10252W High $134
Market Cap
$1.8B
P/E Ratio
13.8
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
5.6%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
11.4%
Profit Margin
33.3%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.64

Why This Score

CHCO scores 55.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.7% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 33.3%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 13.8x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (3.3% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -15.4 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CHCO would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score55.0
Fundamental Score70.0
ML Score52.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
66.0
6 Month
73.7
Primary
1 Year
77.6

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
45
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
38
Grade Dlow volume, low float
Base
51.5
SHAP
+3.4
Factors
+0.6
Divergence
-0.5
Final
55.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)72.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)61.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)74.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 52

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+7.9%
Coverage8 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score45.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+9.4%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector+0.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.9)
Momentum Quality+0.086
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
9%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P55
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P45
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P44
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 60 relative to sector peers60/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 77th percentileP77
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (59.5) + 9% ML (77.0) + SHAP(+4.3) = 65.4—
Factor quality: +0.8pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 3.3%. Stability bonus of +12.0 points. Max drawdown 8% (-0.1 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.8B market cap)-8.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.0pt (ML 17pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (25.6%) — earnings quality concern; CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #131 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CHCO55.013.85.6%33.3%$1.8B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold8 analysts
Hold: 8
Price Target
$130consensus
Low $130Median $130High $130
+5.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

City Holding Company operates as a holding company for City National Bank of West Virginia that provides various banking, trust and investment management, and other financial solutions in the United States. The company offers checking, savings, and money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit and individual retirement accounts. It also provides commercial and industrial loans that consist of loans to corporate and other legal entity borrowers primarily in small to mid-size industrial and commercial companies; commercial real estate loans comprising commercial mortgages, which are secured by nonresidential and multi-family residential properties; residential real estate loans to consumers for the purchase or refinance of residence; first-priority home equity loans; consumer loans that are secured and unsecured by automobiles, boats, recreational vehicles, certificates of deposit, and other personal property; and demand deposit account overdrafts. In addition, the company offers mortgage banking services, including fixed and adjustable-rate mortgages, construction financing, land loans, production of conventional and government insured mortgages, secondary marketing, and mortgage servicing. Further, it provides deposit services for commercial customers comprising treasury management, lockbox, and other cash management services; merchant credit card services; wealth management, trust, investment, and custodial services for commercial and individual customers; and corporate trust and institutional custody, financial and estate planning, and retirement plan services, as well as automated-teller-machine, interactive-teller-machine, mobile banking, interactive voice response systems, and credit and debit card services. The company operates through a network of 94 branches and 905 full-time equivalent associates in West Virginia, Virginia, Kentucky, and Ohio. City Holding Company was founded in 1957 and is headquartered in Charleston, West Virginia.

CEO
Charles R. Hageboeck
Employees
942
Beta
0.51
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
29.8
Oversold
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-8.1%
High: $133.59
From 52W Low
+20.2%
Low: $102.22
Moving Averages
10-Day
$124.50
Below
20-Day
$125.00
Below
50-Day
$123.90
Below
200-Day
$122.80
Above
60-Day Support
$118.43
60-Day Resistance
$129.03
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 58/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+0%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.82%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.98x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
0
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$101M$100M$97M$94M
Gross Profit$80M$80M$78M$72M
Operating Income$41M$44M$41M$37M
Net Income$32M$35M$33M$30M
EPS (Diluted)$2.18$2.41$2.29$2.06
Gross Margin79.3%79.5%80.0%77.0%
Operating Margin40.2%43.8%42.4%39.3%
Net Margin31.2%35.2%34.4%32.3%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 13.8Profit margin 33.3%

Tradability FilterGrade D — 38/100Score impact: +10.5pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
14
93K avg/day
Dollar Vol
63
$11M/day
Float
30
14M shares
Mkt Cap
55
$1.8B
Range
43
31% spread
Composite Liquidity Score38/100
FDCBA
low volumelow float

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.6%
Outstanding Shares
14M
Bid-Ask Spread
31.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.