CareDx, Inc
CDNA scores 58.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. CDNA's rank of #327 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDNA | 58.9 | 16.2 | 19.1% | 17.0% | $967M |
| INCY | 89.6 | 15.8 | 21.2% | 25.0% | $20.1B |
| GMAB | 85.5 | 13.1 | 22.8% | 36.4% | $18.5B |
| CPRX | 82.2 | 13.7 | 23.5% | 37.6% | $3.0B |
| VRTX | 78.0 | 32.1 | 8.9% | 32.9% | $126.0B |
| ASND | 75.7 | 16.6 | 98.0% | -31.7% | $13.3B |
| NBIX | 74.7 | 26.5 | 21.4% | 16.7% | $12.5B |
| ALKS | 74.6 | 16.5 | -6.4% | 23.9% | $5.5B |
| AMGN | 73.8 | 26.0 | 10.0% | 21.0% | $199.0B |
| ARGX | 73.6 | 35.1 | 78.6% | 38.0% | $50.9B |
| HOLX | 73.3 | 31.1 | 1.7% | 13.8% | $16.8B |
| REGN | 72.7 | 19.4 | 1.0% | 31.4% | $84.9B |
| ISRG | 72.3 | 61.7 | 20.5% | 28.4% | $172.5B |
| EXEL | 71.9 | 15.1 | 7.0% | 33.7% | $11.7B |
| KRYS | 71.0 | 41.4 | 473.0% | 30.7% | $8.0B |
| HALO | 70.2 | 16.8 | 22.4% | 43.7% | $9.3B |
| Sector Average | 37.1 | 252.3 | 161.5% | -3292.7% | — |
CareDx, Inc. discovers, develops, and commercializes diagnostic solutions for transplant patients and caregivers worldwide. It provides AlloSure Kidney, a donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) solution for kidney transplant patients; AlloMap Heart, a gene expression solution for heart transplant patients; AlloSure Heart, a dd-cfDNA solution for heart transplant patients; and AlloSure Lung, a dd-cfDNA solution for lung transplant patients. The company also offers TruSight HLA, a next generation sequencing (NGS) based high resolution typing solution; Olerup SSP, which is used to type human leukocyte antigen (HLA) alleles based on sequence specific primer technology; QTYPE that enables precision in HLA typing; and Ottr, a transplant patient management software. In addition, it provides AlloSeq Tx, a high-resolution HLA typing solution; AlloSeq cfDNA, a surveillance solution to measure dd-cfDNA in blood; AlloSeq HCT, a solution for chimerism testing for stem cell transplant recipients; and XynQAPI transplant quality tracking and waitlist management solutions, as well as AlloCare, a mobile app that offers a patient-centric resource for transplant recipients. The company offers its products directly to customers, as well as through third-party distributors and sub-distributors. It has a license agreement with Illumina, Inc. for the distribution, development, and commercialization of NGS products and technologies; and Cibiltech SAS to commercialize iBox, a software for the predictive analysis of post-transplantation kidney allograft loss. The company was formerly known as XDx, Inc. and changed its name to CareDx, Inc. in March 2014. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.
Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $108M | $100M | $87M | $85M |
| Gross Profit | $0 | $69M | $58M | $56M |
| Operating Income | $-8M | $2M | $-11M | $-13M |
| Net Income | $-4M | $2M | $-9M | $-10M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.08 | $0.03 | $-0.16 | $-0.19 |
| Gross Margin | 0.0% | 68.7% | 66.9% | 66.4% |
| Operating Margin | -7.7% | 2.0% | -12.8% | -15.8% |
| Net Margin | -3.8% | 1.7% | -9.9% | -12.2% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $39.16 | $96.88 | 84.9% | Wide |
| 2022 | $10.68 | $47.82 | 127% | Wide |
| 2023 | $4.80 | $18.04 | 115.9% | Wide |
| 2024 | $7.42 | $34.84 | 129.8% | Wide |
| 2025 | $10.96 | $25.95 | 81.2% | Wide |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.