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42

FLGT

🏥 Healthcare

Fulgent Genetics, Inc.

Conservative #802Aggressive #421Moderate RiskMixed 45F↑ 20pt
$23.56+2.04%
Day High$23.72
Day Low$23.11
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$728M
52W Low $1552W High $31
Market Cap
$717M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-2.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
74.6%
Profit Margin
-13.6%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

FLGT scores 41.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (14.5%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-9.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score41.8
Fundamental Score44.6
ML Score65.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
51.1
6 Month
57.2
Primary
1 Year
60.2

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap — no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
85
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
53
Grade Clow float
Base
40.7
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
-0.5
Divergence
-0.8
Final
41.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)58.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)77.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.8% to +2.2%
Medium-term
-2.3% to +3.8%
Long-term
-2.9% to +5.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 65

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.7/100
Target Upside+56.0%
Coverage9 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score85.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+46.0%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.11)
Relative Strength vs Sector+27.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality+0.409
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
15%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P16
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P45
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 80 relative to sector peers80/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 60th percentileP60
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (80.0) + 9% ML (58.4) + SHAP(+1.8) = 79.8—
Factor quality: +0.6pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 14.5%. Max drawdown 21% (-5.1 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.7B market cap)-15.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.4pt (fund 20pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -18 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Earnings/revenue growth ratio of Infinityx — earnings quality suspect; High accrual ratio (103.4%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #122 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FLGT41.8N/A-2.0%-13.6%$717M
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy9 analysts
Buy: 6Hold: 3
Price Target
$36consensus
Low $36Median $36High $36
+52.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Fulgent Genetics, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides COVID-19, molecular diagnostic, and genetic testing services to physicians and patients in the United States and internationally. The company offers genetic tests comprising Focus and Comprehensive oncology panels tests; Beacon carrier screening panels test for inherited conditions; solid tumor molecular profiling for somatic cancer testing; rapid whole genome testing for children in NICU and PICU; newborn genetic analysis panel; single front-line test to detect ataxia-related variants and repeat expansions through sequencing; picture genetics, a patient-initiated genetic testing; whole exome and clinical exome panel tests; whole genome, mutation, and repeat expansion testing services, as well as research service tests. It also provides next generation sequencing and reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction-based tests, as well as antigen-based diagnostic tests for the detection of SARS-CoV-2. In addition, the company offers flow cytometry, a cell analysis technique providing diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring of malignancies; fluorescence in-situ hybridization for detecting and locating a specific DNA sequence on a chromosome; immunohistochemistry, an imaging technique used to visualize antigens in cells; cytogenetics, which analyzes the chromosome set for numerical and structural abnormalities; and molecular testing that includes hematopoietic and solid tumor molecular assays. The company serves insurance, hospitals, medical institutions, other laboratories, governmental bodies, payors, municipalities and large corporations, and patients. Fulgent Genetics has strategic partnership with Helio Health, Inc. to commercialize blood-based early cancer detection tests. The company was formerly known as Fulgent Diagnostics, Inc. and changed its name to Fulgent Genetics, Inc. in August 2016. Fulgent Genetics, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Temple City, California.

CEO
Ming Hsieh
Employees
1,313
Beta
0.87
Industry
Medical - Diagnostics & Research
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
28.4
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-24.1%
High: $31.04
From 52W Low
+61.7%
Low: $14.57
Moving Averages
10-Day
$23.20
Above
20-Day
$24.10
Below
50-Day
$26.10
Below
200-Day
$23.20
Above
60-Day Support
$22.39
60-Day Resistance
$30.19
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 71/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+1.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+13.07%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
1
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$84M$82M$73M$76M
Gross Profit$36M$34M$28M$32M
Operating Income$-15M$-20M$-20M$-16M
Net Income$-7M$-19M$-12M$-6M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.21$-0.61$-0.37$-0.19
Gross Margin42.2%42.1%38.6%41.8%
Operating Margin-18.3%-24.1%-26.9%-21.2%
Net Margin-7.9%-23.2%-15.7%-7.7%

Why This Stock

HealthcareValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade C — 53/100Score impact: -34.0pt

Volume
52
220K avg/day
Dollar Vol
50
$5M/day
Float
50
20M shares
Mkt Cap
34
$717M
Range
100
113% spread
Composite Liquidity Score53/100
FDCBA
low float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$62.50$122.9365.2%Wide
2022$29.01$101.98111.4%Wide
2023$23.09$44.0962.5%Wide
2024$16.56$29.9157.5%Wide
2025$14.57$31.0472.2%Wide
3-Year Range
100.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
64.7%
Outstanding Shares
31M
Bid-Ask Spread
113.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.