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31

PSNL

🏥 Healthcare

Personalis, Inc.

Conservative #1092Aggressive #344Moderate RiskHigh 98
$8.31+0.24%
Day High$8.55
Day Low$8.25
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$738M
52W Low $352W High $12
Market Cap
$735M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
15.2%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
24.9%
Profit Margin
-106.9%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.24

Why This Score

PSNL scores 30.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (98/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (23.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-8.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score30.7
Fundamental Score31.9
ML Score46.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
49.0
6 Month
54.8
Primary
1 Year
57.7

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth — negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Speculative micro-cap — no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 6 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
80
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
77
Grade B
Base
27.0
SHAP
+0.9
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+2.5
Divergence
-0.3
Final
30.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)60.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)80.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.7% to +3.5%
Medium-term
-0.3% to +6.2%
Long-term
+0.2% to +8.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 46

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.9/100
Target Upside+35.3%
Coverage12 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score79.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.0%
6M Momentum+0.7%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+30.4%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.69)
Relative Strength vs Sector+73.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.2)
Momentum Quality+0.729
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P62
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P24
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 57 relative to sector peers57/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 58th percentileP58
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (56.6) + 9% ML (56.1) + SHAP(+1.2) = 57.8
Factor quality: +0.8pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 23.7%. Max drawdown 26% (-7.1 pts)Moderate
Momentum mean-reversion: -0.9pt (98% 12m momentum)
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.7B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.4pt (conviction=98)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: Elevated non-operating income: 10pp gap between net and operating marginFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #210 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PSNL30.7N/A15.2%-106.9%$735M
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy12 analysts
Buy: 11Hold: 1
Price Target
$11consensus
Low $10Median $11High $13
+35.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Personalis, Inc. operates as a cancer genomics company worldwide. The company provides sequencing and data analysis services to support the development of cancer therapies and large-scale genetic research programs. It offers NeXT Platform, which provides data analysis for tumor and its immune microenvironment, from a single limited tissue or plasma sample; ImmunoID Next for tumor profiling from tissue; NeXT Liquid Biopsy for tumor profiling from plasma; NeXT Personal, a liquid biopsy offering for personalized tumor tracking for patients; NeXT Dx Test, a genomic cancer profiling test enabling composite biomarkers for cancer treatment; and NeXT SHERPA and NeXT NEOPS for neoantigen prediction capabilities. The company also provides ACE platform for clinical and therapeutic applications such as neoantigen prediction, biomarker identification, and novel drug target selection. It serves biopharmaceutical customers, universities, non-profits, and government entities. The company has partnership with Mayo Clinic; MapKure, LLC; SpringWorks Therapeutics, Inc.; and Moores Cancer Center. Personalis, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.

CEO
Christopher Hall
Employees
228
Beta
2.02
Industry
Medical - Diagnostics & Research
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
50.0
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-27.7%
High: $11.5
From 52W Low
+193.6%
Low: $2.83
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.50
Below
20-Day
$8.70
Below
50-Day
$8.80
Below
200-Day
$7.20
Above
60-Day Support
$7.27
60-Day Resistance
$11.5
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 80/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+15.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+26.3%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.84x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$14M$17M$21M$17M
Gross Profit$2M$5M$7M$5M
Operating Income$-23M$-22M$-18M$-18M
Net Income$-22M$-20M$-16M$-16M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.24$-0.23$-0.18$-0.23
Gross Margin13.2%27.6%35.0%27.1%
Operating Margin-160.7%-126.7%-85.9%-107.8%
Net Margin-149.4%-116.6%-76.4%-97.8%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 15.2%

Tradability FilterGrade B — 77/100Score impact: -33.2pt

Volume
100
1.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
63
$11M/day
Float
81
52M shares
Mkt Cap
35
$735M
Range
100
307% spread
Composite Liquidity Score77/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$11.62$36.25102.9%Wide
2022$1.73$14.57157.5%Wide
2023$0.89$4.31131.5%Wide
2024$1.12$7.20146.2%Wide
2025$2.83$11.40120.4%Wide
3-Year Range
171%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
58.9%
Outstanding Shares
89M
Bid-Ask Spread
307.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.