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BANR

🏦 Financial Services

Banner Corporation

Conservative #296Aggressive #920Low RiskHigh 95
$61.30+1.86%
Day High$61.84
Day Low$60.45
Volume0.4M
Mkt Cap$2.1B
52W Low $5452W High $70
Market Cap
$2.2B
P/E Ratio
11.3
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
-0.9%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
15.7%
Profit Margin
23.8%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.19

Why This Score

BANR scores 60.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 23.8%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 11.3x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (4.7% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • High conviction (95/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Moderate penalties (-8.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score60.4
Fundamental Score71.2
ML Score38.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
73.7
6 Month
82.3
Primary
1 Year
86.7

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-615.2%) — earnings quality concern
False stability: 0.047 vol with only -0.9% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety (declining revenue overrides sector exemption)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
47
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
57
Grade C
Base
59.1
SHAP
+2.2
Factors
+0.5
Conviction
+1.3
Divergence
-2.7
Final
60.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)66.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)63.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.1% to +4.2%
Medium-term
-2.8% to +6.6%
Long-term
-3.5% to +9.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 38

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score57.7/100
Target Upside+15.7%
Coverage13 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score46.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum-0.0%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-1.4%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.58)
Relative Strength vs Sector-12.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.7)
Momentum Quality-0.030
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
44%
High risk — cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P20
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P63
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P88
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 80 relative to sector peers80/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 88th percentileP88
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +5.0pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (80.4) + 9% ML (87.9) + SHAP(+5.0) = 86.1
Factor quality: +1.2pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 4.7%. Stability bonus of +12.0 points. Max drawdown 9% (-0.5 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.2B market cap)-4.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.0pt (conviction=95)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -24 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-615.2%) — earnings quality concern; False stability: 0.0 vol with only -0.9% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety (declining revenue overrides sector exemption); CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #93 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BANR60.411.3-0.9%23.8%$2.2B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold13 analysts
Buy: 4Hold: 9
Price Target
$70consensus
Low $70Median $70High $70
+14.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Banner Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Banner Bank that provide commercial banking and financial products and services to individuals, businesses, and public sector entities in the United States. It accepts various deposit instruments, including interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing checking accounts, money market deposit accounts, regular savings accounts, and certificates of deposit, as well as treasury management services and retirement savings plans. The company also provides commercial real estate loans, including owner-occupied, investment properties, and multifamily residential real estate loans; construction, land, and land development loans; residential mortgage loans; commercial business loans; agricultural loans; and consumer and other loans, such as home equity lines of credit, automobile, and boat and recreational vehicle loans, as well as loans secured by deposit accounts. In addition, it engages in the mortgage banking operations through the origination and sale of one-to four-family and multi-family residential loans, as well as small business administration loans. Further, the company provides electronic and digital banking services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 150 branch offices and 18 loan production offices located in Washington, Oregon, California, Idaho, and Utah. Banner Corporation was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Walla Walla, Washington.

CEO
Mark J. Grescovich
Employees
1,910
Beta
0.88
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
35.3
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-12.2%
High: $69.83
From 52W Low
+13.5%
Low: $54.01
Moving Averages
10-Day
$63.20
Below
20-Day
$63.30
Below
50-Day
$64.10
Below
200-Day
$64.00
Below
60-Day Support
$59.51
60-Day Resistance
$67.95
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 1 — BasingScore: 38/100

Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.

Monitor for breakout above 200-day SMA on volume
Transition signal: 1→2
Price vs 200 SMA
-4.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.35%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.41x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
3
Confidence: 80%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$220M$171M$218M$211M
Gross Profit$168M$168M$157M$155M
Operating Income$64M$66M$56M$56M
Net Income$51M$54M$45M$45M
EPS (Diluted)$1.49$1.54$1.31$1.30
Gross Margin76.1%98.4%72.2%73.4%
Operating Margin28.8%38.7%25.7%26.5%
Net Margin23.3%31.3%20.9%21.4%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 11.3Profit margin 23.8%Valuation below sector median (P/E 11.3)

Tradability FilterGrade C — 57/100Score impact: +7.7pt

Volume
52
223K avg/day
Dollar Vol
67
$13M/day
Float
60
0K shares
Mkt Cap
60
$2.2B
Range
37
29% spread
Composite Liquidity Score57/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 19/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$49.10$63.2425.2%Moderate
2022$52.35$75.7236.5%Wide
2023$39.31$67.3052.5%Wide
2024$42.00$78.0560.1%Wide
2025$54.01$72.5829.3%Moderate
3-Year Range
66%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.34x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue declinestagnation flag

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
29.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.