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QDEL

🏥 Healthcare

QuidelOrtho Corporation

Conservative #1119Aggressive #925Moderate RiskHigh 88
$23.33+6.38%
Day High$24.26
Day Low$21.95
Volume1.2M
Mkt Cap$1.6B
52W Low $2052W High $42
Market Cap
$1.5B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-1.9%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
44.8%
Profit Margin
-41.5%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
1.46

Why This Score

QDEL scores 29.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (88/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (12.5%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.46) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. QDEL's rank of #1119 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score29.6
Fundamental Score24.0
ML Score32.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
58.0
6 Month
64.8
Primary
1 Year
68.3

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
45
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
85
Grade A
Base
25.6
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+1.9
Final
29.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)40.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.8% to +3.3%
Medium-term
-3.9% to +5.3%
Long-term
-5.0% to +7.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 32

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.3/100
Target Upside+38.3%
Coverage15 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score45.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.4%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-23.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.43)
Relative Strength vs Sector-65.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.3)
Momentum Quality-0.270
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
22%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P17
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P67
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 62 relative to sector peers62/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 68th percentileP68
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (61.5) + 9% ML (65.8) + SHAP(+1.8) = 63.7
Factor quality: +0.7pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 12.5%. Max drawdown 34% (-10.5 pts). Price momentum -41% (-7.2 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.5B market cap)-8.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.2pt (conviction=88)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (109.3%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #221 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
QDEL29.6N/A-1.9%-41.5%$1.5B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy15 analysts
Buy: 7Hold: 6Sell: 2
Price Target
$30consensus
Low $30Median $30High $30
+28.6% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

QuidelOrtho Corporation focuses on the development and manufacture of diagnostic testing technologies across the continuum of healthcare testing needs. The company operates through Labs, Transfusion Medicine, Point-of-Care, and Molecular Diagnostics business units. The Labs business unit provides clinical chemistry laboratory instruments and tests that measure target chemicals in bodily fluids for the evaluation of health and the clinical management of patients; immunoassay laboratory instruments and tests, which measure proteins as they act as antigens in the spread of disease, antibodies in the immune response spurred by disease, or markers of proper organ function and health; testing products to detect and monitor disease progression across a spectrum of therapeutic areas; and specialized diagnostic solutions. The Transfusion Medicine business unit offers immunohematology instruments and tests used for blood typing to ensure patient-donor compatibility in blood transfusions; and donor screening instruments and tests used for blood and plasma screening for infectious diseases. The Point-of-Care business unit provides tests to provide rapid results across a continuum of point-of-care settings. The Molecular Diagnostics business unit offers polymerase chain reaction thermocyclers; and analyzers and amplification systems. The company sells its products directly to end users through a direct sales force; and through a network of distributors for professional use in physician offices, hospitals, clinical laboratories, reference laboratories, urgent care clinics, universities, retail clinics, pharmacies, wellness screening centers, blood banks, and donor centers, as well as for individual, non-professional, and over-the-counter use. It operates in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, China, and internationally. The company was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.

CEO
Brian J. Blaser
Employees
6,600
Beta
0.72
Industry
Medical - Instruments & Supplies
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
27.8
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-44.7%
High: $42.21
From 52W Low
+19.6%
Low: $19.5
Moving Averages
10-Day
$23.60
Below
20-Day
$25.90
Below
50-Day
$28.70
Below
200-Day
$28.10
Below
60-Day Support
$20.85
60-Day Resistance
$35.58
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 5/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3→4
Price vs 200 SMA
-17%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-5.27%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.6x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
9
Confidence: 50%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$724M$700M$614M$693M
Gross Profit$320M$336M$275M$343M
Operating Income$-66M$-705M$-181M$33M
Net Income$-131M$-733M$-255M$-13M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.95$-10.78$-3.77$-0.19
Gross Margin44.3%47.9%44.8%49.6%
Operating Margin-9.2%-100.7%-29.4%4.7%
Net Margin-18.1%-104.7%-41.6%-1.8%

Why This Stock

HealthcareValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade A — 85/100Score impact: -17.5pt

Volume
100
1.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
82
$23M/day
Float
85
63M shares
Mkt Cap
49
$1.5B
Range
100
116% spread
Composite Liquidity Score85/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$103.31$180.0654.2%Wide
2022$66.88$135.9068.1%Wide
2023$57.54$98.6752.7%Wide
2024$29.74$75.8287.3%Wide
2025$19.50$49.4586.9%Wide
3-Year Range
134%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
93.5%
Outstanding Shares
68M
Bid-Ask Spread
116.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.