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36

ATRC

🏥 Healthcare

AtriCure, Inc.

Conservative #953Aggressive #1111Low RiskModerate 73
$31.64+1.46%
Day High$31.64
Day Low$31.11
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$1.6B
52W Low $2852W High $43
Market Cap
$1.6B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
14.9%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
74.4%
Profit Margin
-2.1%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.18

Why This Score

ATRC scores 36.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (73/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Moderate penalties (-5.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score36.4
Fundamental Score47.0
ML Score7.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
69.7
6 Month
77.9
Primary
1 Year
82.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (249.9%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
64
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
74
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
77
Grade B
Base
37.0
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.4
Divergence
-3.8
Final
36.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)62.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)54.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.7% to +6.3%
Medium-term
+3.1% to +10.3%
Long-term
+4.6% to +14.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 7

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score73.7/100
Target Upside+58.2%
Coverage19 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score64.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-4.0%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.75)
Relative Strength vs Sector-40.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.7)
Momentum Quality-0.130
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
10%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P62
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P64
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 69 relative to sector peers69/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 82th percentileP82
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (68.8) + 9% ML (79.8) + SHAP(+1.8) = 71.6
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 9.1%. Max drawdown 17% (-3.8 pts). Price momentum -16% (-2.1 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.6B market cap)-8.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (249.9%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #160 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ATRC36.4N/A14.9%-2.1%$1.6B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy19 analysts
Buy: 18Hold: 1
Price Target
$51consensus
Low $44Median $53High $55
+60.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

AtriCure, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells devices for the surgical ablation of cardiac tissue and systems, and intercostal nerves to medical centers in the United States, Europe, Asia, and internationally. The company offers Isolator Synergy Clamps, a single-use disposable radio frequency products; multifunctional pens and linear ablation devices, such as the MAX Pen device that enables surgeons to evaluate cardiac arrhythmias, perform temporary cardiac pacing, sensing, and stimulation and ablate cardiac tissue with the same device; and the Coolrail device, which enable users to make longer linear lines of ablation. It also provides cryoICE Cryoablation System that enables the user to make linear ablations of varied lengths; EPi-Sense Guided Coagulation System, a single-use disposable device used for the treatment of symptomatic, drug-refractory, and long-standing persistent atrial fibrillation; AtriClip System, an implantable device coupled to a single-use disposable applier; and LARIAT System, a suture-based solution for soft-tissue closure compatible with a range of anatomical shapes. In addition, the company sells Lumitip Dissectors to separate tissues to provide access to key anatomical structures that are targeted for ablation; Glidepath guides for placement of clamps; Subtle Cannula's to support access for EPi-Sense catheters; and various reusable cardiac surgery instruments, which are used during surgical procedures for repair or replacement of certain heart valves. It markets and sells its products through independent distributors and direct sales personnel. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Mason, Ohio.

CEO
Michael H. Carrel
Employees
1,300
Beta
1.41
Industry
Medical - Instruments & Supplies
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
30.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-27%
High: $43.18
From 52W Low
+11.3%
Low: $28.29
Moving Averages
10-Day
$32.00
Below
20-Day
$34.30
Below
50-Day
$37.70
Below
200-Day
$35.40
Below
60-Day Support
$30.27
60-Day Resistance
$43.18
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 19/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3→4
Price vs 200 SMA
-11%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+3.3%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.61x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
11
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$141M$134M$136M$124M
Gross Profit$105M$101M$101M$93M
Operating Income$3M$208,000$-6M$-6M
Net Income$2M$-267,000$-6M$-7M
EPS (Diluted)$0.04$-0.01$-0.13$-0.14
Gross Margin74.4%75.5%74.5%74.9%
Operating Margin2.5%0.2%-4.5%-4.8%
Net Margin1.2%-0.2%-4.5%-5.5%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 14.9%

Tradability FilterGrade B — 77/100Score impact: -7.5pt

Volume
85
623K avg/day
Dollar Vol
80
$20M/day
Float
78
48M shares
Mkt Cap
52
$1.6B
Range
86
53% spread
Composite Liquidity Score77/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$58.41$89.1841.7%Wide
2022$32.51$72.3175.9%Wide
2023$32.27$59.6159.5%Wide
2024$18.94$39.0569.4%Wide
2025$28.29$43.1141.5%Wide
3-Year Range
103.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
96.6%
Outstanding Shares
50M
Bid-Ask Spread
53.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.