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NVTS

💻 Technology

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation

Conservative #1350Aggressive #1000High RiskModerate 62
$9.88+19.61%
Day High$10.49
Day Low$8.66
Volume50.3M
Mkt Cap$2.3B
52W Low $252W High $18
Market Cap
$1.8B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
4.8%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
41.8%
Profit Margin
-220.9%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.02

Why This Score

NVTS scores 15.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.02) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (240%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Procyclicality: Late-cycle macro signals reduce confidence in extreme-momentum names. 2-point additional penalty.
  • Above-average volatility (53.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -14.2 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, NVTS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score15.6
Fundamental Score29.7
ML Score21.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
16.5
6 Month
18.4
Primary
1 Year
19.4

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth — negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Speculative micro-cap — no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 6 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
1.5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
60
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
56
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
15.0
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
-0.6
Final
15.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)60.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)60.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)67.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-15.3% to -9.0%
Medium-term
-20.8% to -11.8%
Long-term
-26.2% to -14.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 21

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score56.3/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage8 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.0/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+2.4%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.5%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+198.5%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.17)
Relative Strength vs Sector+236.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.5)
Momentum Quality+1.274
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P32
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P78
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P7
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 44 relative to sector peers44/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 32th percentileP32
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (44.1) + 9% ML (31.6) + SHAP(+1.2) = 44.1
Factor quality: -0.6pt (multi-factor composite)
Momentum mean-reversion: -6.0pt (240% 12m momentum)
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.8B market cap)-8.0 pts
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: very_high. Annualized volatility 53.2%. Max drawdown 47% (-12.0 pts)Very_high
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -18 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (-184.0%) exceeds net margin (-220.9%) by 37pp — possible write-down; High accrual ratio (64.0%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #280 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NVTS15.6N/A4.8%-220.9%$1.8B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold8 analysts
Buy: 3Hold: 4Sell: 1
Price Target
$5consensus
Low $4Median $4High $10
-46.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Navitas Semiconductor Corporation designs, develops, and sells gallium nitride (GaN) power integrated circuits in China, the United States, Taiwan, Korea, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.

CEO
Chris Allexandre
Employees
280
Beta
3.17
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
64.2
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-44.5%
High: $17.79
From 52W Low
+550%
Low: $1.52
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.40
Above
20-Day
$8.60
Above
50-Day
$8.80
Above
200-Day
$7.90
Above
60-Day Support
$7.11
60-Day Resistance
$11.4
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 92/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+25.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+33.63%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
13
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$7M$10M$14M$14M
Gross Profit$8M$-904,000$2M$5M
Operating Income$-41M$-19M$-22M$-25M
Net Income$-32M$-19M$-49M$-17M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.14$-0.09$-0.25$-0.09
Gross Margin103.0%-8.9%16.1%37.9%
Operating Margin-567.3%-192.0%-149.4%-180.5%
Net Margin-436.1%-190.2%-338.7%-120.1%

Why This Stock

Technology

Tradability FilterGrade A — 94/100Score impact: -31.4pt

Volume
100
20.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$163M/day
Float
100
189M shares
Mkt Cap
57
$1.8B
Range
100
1070% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$9.66$22.1978.7%Wide
2022$3.11$17.34139.2%Wide
2023$3.53$11.17103.9%Wide
2024$1.75$7.92127.6%Wide
2025$1.52$17.79168.5%Wide
3-Year Range
168.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
81.9%
Outstanding Shares
230M
Bid-Ask Spread
1070.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.