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SYNA

πŸ’» Technology

Synaptics Incorporated

Conservative #809Aggressive #1058Low RiskLow 39ML↑ 31pt
$82.00+1.16%
Day High$82.32
Day Low$80.93
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$3.2B
52W Low $4252W High $97
Market Cap
$3.3B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
12.0%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-138.1%
Profit Margin
-5.4%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.60

Why This Score

SYNA scores 41.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (37%) β€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Moderate penalties (-4.4 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score41.5
Fundamental Score47.5
ML Score17.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
64.3
6 Month
71.8
Primary
1 Year
75.6

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (326.1%) β€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
68
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
70
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
84
Grade A
Base
41.4
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.0
Conviction
-1.1
Divergence
-2.3
Final
41.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)43.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)85.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)85.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.0% to +4.4%
Medium-term
+0.9% to +7.6%
Long-term
+1.8% to +10.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 17

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score70.3/100
Target Upside+18.5%
Coverage32 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score67.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 β€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.4%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+7.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.80)
Relative Strength vs Sector+33.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.326
Momentum BreadthBroad βœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
19%
Moderate β€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P54
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P78
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P53
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 44 relative to sector peers44/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 75th percentileP75
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)β€”
Blend: 91% fund (44.4) + 9% ML (72.9) + SHAP(+2.5) = 49.5β€”
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)β€”
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 7.5%. Max drawdown 13% (-1.9 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($3.3B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.1pt (conviction=39)β€”
Divergence penalty: -3.1pt (ML 31pt higher)β€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (326.1%) β€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology β€” Rank #180 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SYNA41.5N/A12.0%-5.4%$3.3B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%β€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy32 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 24Hold: 7
Price Target
$97consensus
Low $80Median $100High $105
+18.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Synaptics Incorporated develops, markets, and sells semiconductor product solutions worldwide. The company offers AudioSmart for voice and audio processing; ConnectSmart for high-speed video/audio/data connectivity; DisplayLink for transmitting compressed video frames across low bandwidth connections; VideoSmart that enables set-top boxes or over-the-top, streaming devices, soundbars, surveillance cameras, and smart displays; and ImagingSmart solutions. It also provides Natural ID, a fingerprint ID product that is used in automobiles, notebook personal computers (PCs), PC peripherals, and other applications; TouchPad, a touch-sensitive pad that senses the position and movement of one or more fingers on its surface; SecurePad that integrates fingerprint sensor directly into the TouchPad area; ClickPad that offers a clickable mechanical design; and ForcePad. In addition, the company offers ClearPad, which enables users to interact directly with the display on mobile smartphones, tablets, and automobiles; ClearView products that provide advanced image processing and low power technology for displays on smartphones and tablets; and TouchView products, a touch controller and display driver integration product. Further, it provides TouchPad with a pointing stick in a single notebook computer enabling users to select their interface of choice; TouchStyk, a self-contained pointing stick module; ultra-low power edge artificial intelligence platform for battery powered wireless devices; wireless connectivity solutions comprising Wi-Fi, Bluetooth, global positioning system, global navigation satellite system, and ULE; and voice over IP and digital enhanced cordless telecommunications solutions. The company sells its products through direct sales, outside sales representatives, distributors, and resellers to mobile and PC OEMs; IoT OEMs; and automotive and consumer electronics manufacturers. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

CEO
Rahul G. Patel
Employees
1,716
Beta
1.68
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
39.0
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-15.5%
High: $97
From 52W Low
+96.2%
Low: $41.8
Moving Averages
10-Day
$85.60
Below
20-Day
$85.80
Below
50-Day
$82.70
Below
200-Day
$71.10
Above
60-Day Support
$66.86
60-Day Resistance
$97
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 β€” AdvancingScore: 80/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+15.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+9.68%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.04x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
63
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$303M$293M$283M$267M
Gross Profit$132M$125M$122M$116M
Operating Income$-15M$-23M$-24M$-26M
Net Income$-15M$-21M$-5M$-22M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.38$-0.52$-0.12$-0.56
Gross Margin43.5%42.6%43.0%43.4%
Operating Margin-5.0%-7.9%-8.6%-9.9%
Net Margin-4.9%-7.0%-1.7%-8.2%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 12.0%

Tradability FilterGrade A β€” 84/100Score impact: -6.6pt

Volume
87
675K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$55M/day
Float
68
38M shares
Mkt Cap
63
$3.3B
Range
100
132% spread
Composite Liquidity Score84/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$114.05$299.3989.7%Wide
2022$81.13$294.70113.7%Wide
2023$67.73$142.1470.9%Wide
2024$67.83$115.8552.3%Wide
2025$41.80$89.8173%Wide
3-Year Range
109.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
97.4%
Outstanding Shares
39M
Bid-Ask Spread
132.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.