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33

NAVI

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Navient Corporation

Conservative #1018Aggressive #1376Moderate Risk
$8.79-2.22%
Day High$8.82
Day Low$8.50
Volume1.5M
Mkt Cap$857M
52W Low $952W High $16
Market Cap
$848M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-23.7%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-161.1%
Profit Margin
-2.5%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
19.05

Why This Score

NAVI scores 33.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (97/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 19.05) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. NAVI's rank of #1018 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score33.1
Fundamental Score34.2
ML Score19.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
39.9
6 Month
44.6
Primary
1 Year
46.9

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
2 quality flags detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (639.2%) โ€” earnings quality concern
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 19.1x โ€” balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
32
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
51
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
68
Grade B
Base
29.1
SHAP
+1.4
Factors
+0.3
Conviction
+2.3
Divergence
-0.0
Final
33.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

38AVG
Value50
Quality29
Growth0
Stability52
Investment61

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)24.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)42.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)71.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-14.3% to -5.8%
Medium-term
-19.0% to -6.8%
Long-term
-23.7% to -7.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 19

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score51.0/100
Target Upside+9.8%
Coverage24 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score31.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-1.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.96)
Relative Strength vs Sector-40.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.7)
Momentum Quality-0.216
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
23%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P5
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P26
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P95
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.4ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 34 relative to sector peers34/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 19th percentileP19
Blended score: 80% fundamental (34) + 20% ML (19) = 31.231.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 31% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +1.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +2.3pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -0.0pt (ML 15pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (639.2%) โ€” earnings quality concern; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 19.1x โ€” balance sheet riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #268 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
NAVI33.1N/A-23.7%-2.5%$848M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Navient Corporation provides education loan management and business processing solutions for education, healthcare, and government clients at the federal, state, and local levels in the United States. It operates through three segments: Federal Education Loans, Consumer Lending, and Business Processing. The company owns Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) loans that are insured or guaranteed by state or not-for-profit agencies; and performs servicing and asset recovery services on its own loan portfolio, as well as asset recovery services on FFELP loans owned by other institutions. It also owns, originates, acquires, and services refinance and in-school private education loans; and offers healthcare services that include revenue cycle outsourcing, accounts receivable management, extended business office support, consulting engagement, and public health programs, as well as business processing services to state governments, agencies, court systems, municipalities, and parking and tolling authorities. In addition, the company provides customizable solutions for its clients that include hospitals, hospital systems, medical centers, large physician groups, other healthcare providers, and public health departments; and corporate liquidity portfolio services. Navient Corporation was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.

CEO
David L. Yowan
Employees
2,100
Beta
1.32
Industry
Financial - Credit Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
21.6
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-45.3%
High: $16.07
From 52W Low
+3.4%
Low: $8.5
Moving Averages
10-Day
$9.20
Below
20-Day
$9.50
Below
50-Day
$11.30
Below
200-Day
$12.70
Below
60-Day Support
$8.5
60-Day Resistance
$13.48
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 15/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-30.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-2.97%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.09x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
33
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$761M$800M$806M$828M
Gross Profit$673M$-7M$119M$126M
Operating Income$626M$-117M$18M$-5M
Net Income$-5M$-86M$14M$-2M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.06$-0.87$0.14$-0.02
Gross Margin88.4%-0.9%14.8%15.2%
Operating Margin82.3%-14.6%2.2%-0.6%
Net Margin-0.7%-10.8%1.7%-0.2%

Why This Stock

Financial Services

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 68/100Score impact: +0.1pt

Volume
100
1.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
59
$9M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
38
$848M
Range
100
79% spread
Composite Liquidity Score68/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 1/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$12.13$23.8065%Wide
2022$12.45$22.5957.9%Wide
2023$14.10$19.6933.1%Moderate
2024$12.78$18.7437.8%Wide
2025$10.53$16.0741.7%Wide
3-Year Range
60.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.21x dampening
weinstein basingsevere revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
79.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.