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68

EZPW

🏦 Financial Services

EZCORP, Inc.

Conservative #164Aggressive #116Low RiskML↑ 15pt
$26.53+0.49%
Day High$26.58
Day Low$26.01
Volume0.8M
Mkt Cap$1.6B
52W Low $1352W High $27
Market Cap
$1.5B
P/E Ratio
12.6
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
9.7%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
31.9%
Profit Margin
9.2%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.23

Why This Score

EZPW scores 68.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 12.6x earnings, below the market average.
  • High conviction (79/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.

No material penalties applied. EZPW ranks #164 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score68.9
Fundamental Score62.4
ML Score75.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
73.2
6 Month
81.8
Primary
1 Year
86.1

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
67
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
85
Grade A
Base
64.9
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.4
Final
68.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

71AVG
Value83
Quality45
Growth74
Stability80
Investment73

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)88.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+7.1% to +12.6%
Medium-term
+11.6% to +20.0%
Long-term
+17.9% to +29.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 75

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.0/100
Target Upside+8.8%
Coverage15 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score66.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.8%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+30.8%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.60)
Relative Strength vs Sector+67.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.630
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
14%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P65
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P63
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P65
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 62 relative to sector peers62/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 75th percentileP75
Blended score: 80% fundamental (62) + 20% ML (75) = 64.964.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 18% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #64 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
EZPW68.912.69.7%9.2%$1.5B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

EZCORP, Inc. provides pawn loans in the United States and Latin America. It offers pawn loans collateralized by tangible personal property, jewelry, consumer electronics, tools, sporting goods, and musical instruments. The company also sells merchandise, primarily collateral forfeited from pawn lending operations and pre-owned merchandise purchased from customers. In addition, it offers Lana and EZ+ web-based engagement platforms to manage pawn loans. As of September 30, 2021, the company owned and operated 516 pawn stores in the United States; 508 pawn stores in Mexico; and 124 pawn stores in Guatemala, El Salvador, and Honduras. EZCORP, Inc. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

CEO
Lachlan Given
Employees
8,000
Beta
0.53
Industry
Financial - Credit Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
60.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.2%
High: $26.59
From 52W Low
+106.5%
Low: $12.85
Moving Averages
10-Day
$25.40
Above
20-Day
$24.50
Above
50-Day
$22.20
Above
200-Day
$17.70
Above
60-Day Support
$19.09
60-Day Resistance
$26.59
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+49.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+13.94%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$16.83
Stop Entry Now Target
$28.18
Entry Zone
$21.98 – $22.87
SMA50 pullback zone ($21.98–$22.87)
Exit Target
$27.36
52-week high / +22% target ($27.36)
Stop Level
$17.35
Below SMA200 ($17.35)
Risk / Reward:1 : 0.97Tight

Stage 2 uptrend — institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$382M$337M$311M$306M
Gross Profit$223M$199M$184M$178M
Operating Income$61M$37M$36M$34M
Net Income$44M$27M$27M$25M
EPS (Diluted)$0.55$0.34$0.34$0.33
Gross Margin58.4%59.0%59.1%58.3%
Operating Margin15.9%11.0%11.6%11.2%
Net Margin11.6%7.9%8.5%8.3%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 12.6Valuation below sector median (P/E 12.6)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 85/100Score impact: -5.1pt

Volume
100
1.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
85
$28M/day
Float
82
56M shares
Mkt Cap
50
$1.5B
Range
100
105% spread
Composite Liquidity Score85/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$4.79$8.8059.1%Wide
2022$5.51$10.6863.8%Wide
2023$7.70$9.7323.4%Narrow
2024$8.20$12.8544.2%Wide
2025$11.60$21.4959.8%Wide
3-Year Range
94.5%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
94.8%
Outstanding Shares
59M
Bid-Ask Spread
105.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.