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50

OCSL

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation

Conservative #600Aggressive #1077Low RiskMLโ†‘ 31pt
$11.34-2.83%
Day High$11.61
Day Low$11.33
Volume0.7M
Mkt Cap$999M
52W Low $1152W High $16
Market Cap
$1.0B
P/E Ratio
31.5
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
60.9%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-41.4%
Profit Margin
14.9%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
1.12

Why This Score

OCSL scores 51.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (4.9% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.12) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-4.5 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score51.1
Fundamental Score58.0
ML Score26.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
65.0
6 Month
72.7
Primary
1 Year
76.5

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
60
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
65
Grade B
Base
49.6
SHAP
+3.3
Factors
+0.7
Divergence
-2.5
Final
51.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

60AVG
Value69
Quality49
Growth50
Stability71
Investment61

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)52.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)59.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)75.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.6% to +1.5%
Medium-term
-3.3% to +2.7%
Long-term
-4.0% to +4.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 26

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score60.4/100
Target Upside+4.2%
Coverage12 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.8/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-7.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.53)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.1)
Momentum Quality-0.135
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P96
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P15
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P62
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.9ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 58 relative to sector peers58/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 26th percentileP26
Blended score: 80% fundamental (58) + 20% ML (26) = 51.651.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 11% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.3pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -2.5pt (ML 32pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #184 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
OCSL51.131.560.9%14.9%$1.0B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation is a business development company specializing in investments in middle market, bridge financing, first and second lien debt financing, unsecured and mezzanine loan, mezzanine debt, senior and junior secured debt, expansions, sponsor-led acquisitions, preferred equity and management buyouts in small and mid-sized companies. It seeks to invest in education services, business services, retail and consumer, healthcare, manufacturing, food and restaurants, construction and engineering, and media and advertising sectors. It invests between $5 million to $75 million principally in the form of one-stop, first lien, and second lien debt investments, which may include an equity co-investment component in companies with enterprise value between $20 million and $150 million and EBITDA between $3 million and $50 million. The fund has a hold size of up to $75 million and may underwrite transactions up to $100 million. It primarily invests in North America. The fund seeks to be a lead investor in its portfolio companies.

CEO
Armen Panossian
Employees
0
Beta
0.56
Industry
Financial - Credit Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
33.1
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-30.4%
High: $16.29
From 52W Low
+0.5%
Low: $11.28
Moving Averages
10-Day
$11.70
Below
20-Day
$12.00
Below
50-Day
$12.50
Below
200-Day
$13.40
Below
60-Day Support
$11.28
60-Day Resistance
$13.91
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 16/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-15.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-4.93%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.17x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$76M$84M$67M$-12M
Gross Profit$67M$71M$36M$-40M
Operating Income$32M$51M$39M$-36M
Net Income$6M$25M$38M$-36M
EPS (Diluted)$0.06$0.28$0.44$-0.42
Gross Margin87.8%84.4%53.9%N/A
Operating Margin42.3%60.4%57.3%N/A
Net Margin7.3%29.2%56.9%N/A

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesRevenue growth 60.9%Profit margin 14.9%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 65/100Score impact: +19.6pt

Volume
92
811K avg/day
Dollar Vol
58
$9M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
40
$1.0B
Range
82
44% spread
Composite Liquidity Score65/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 39/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$18.18$22.8622.8%Narrow
2022$17.59$23.4328.5%Moderate
2023$17.70$21.4819.3%Narrow
2024$14.95$21.6436.6%Wide
2025$12.44$16.2926.8%Moderate
3-Year Range
54%
Narrow Years
4 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
44.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.