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14

BETR

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Better Home & Finance Holding Company

Conservative #1342Aggressive #198High RiskMLโ†‘ 25pt
$32.90-1.02%
Day High$33.14
Day Low$30.80
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$500M
52W Low $952W High $94
Market Cap
$437M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
35.7%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
61.5%
Profit Margin
-104.3%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
10.84

Why This Score

BETR scores 14.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 2266.1% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (173%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (48.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 10.84) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -17.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, BETR would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score14.4
Fundamental Score24.4
ML Score33.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
39.9
6 Month
44.6
Primary
1 Year
46.9

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
2 quality flags detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Negative ROIC (-9.3%) with high ROE (2266.1%) โ€” capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 10.8x โ€” balance sheet risk
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap โ€” no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
1.6%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
74
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
54
Grade Clow float, small cap
Base
15.1
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
+0.4
Conviction
-3.0
Final
14.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

42AVG
Value50
Quality33
Growth100
Stability12
Investment13

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)58.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-4.8% to -0.4%
Medium-term
-7.0% to -0.4%
Long-term
-9.2% to -0.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 33

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+43.7%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score73.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+1.7%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.5%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+134.8%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.22)
Relative Strength vs Sector+164.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality+0.718
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P89
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P26
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P1
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.5ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 24 relative to sector peers24/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 33th percentileP33
Blended score: 80% fundamental (24) + 20% ML (33) = 26.126.1
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.5%; Drawdown 59% โ†’ 0.0pt; Positive momentum 173% โ†’ -3.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +1.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -3.0pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Negative ROIC (-9.3%) with high ROE (2266.1%) โ€” capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain); Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 10.8x โ€” balance sheet riskFlag
Speculative: SPEC_MICRO (3.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #316 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BETR14.4N/A35.7%-104.3%$437M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Better Home & Finance Holding Company operates as a homeownership company in the United States. The company provides government-sponsored enterprise (GSE) conforming loans, U.S. Federal Housing Administration insured loans, U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs guaranteed loans, and jumbo loans to GSEs, banks, insurance companies, asset managers, and mortgage real estate investment trusts. It also offers real estate agent services, title insurance and settlement services, and homeowners insurance services. The company formerly known as Better Mortgage Corporation and changed its name to Better Home & Finance Holding Company in August 2023. Better Home & Finance Holding Company is headquartered in New York, New York.

CEO
Vishal Garg
Employees
1,250
Beta
2.01
Industry
Financial - Mortgages
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
68.5
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-65%
High: $94.06
From 52W Low
+269.7%
Low: $8.9
Moving Averages
10-Day
$30.70
Above
20-Day
$29.30
Above
50-Day
$32.50
Above
200-Day
$32.80
Above
60-Day Support
$25.11
60-Day Resistance
$51.16
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 70/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Transition signal: 1โ†’2
Price vs 200 SMA
+0.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+26.15%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.91x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
2
Confidence: 50%

Entry & Exit Zones

In Entry Zone
$31.18
Stop Entry Now Target
$96.88
Entry Zone
$32.17 โ€“ $33.48
SMA50 pullback zone ($32.17โ€“$33.48)
Exit Target
$94.06
52-week high / +22% target ($94.06)
Stop Level
$32.14
Below SMA200 ($32.14)
Risk / Reward:1 : 89.39Favorable

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$44M$51M$35M$47M
Gross Profit$34M$10M$-21M$10M
Operating Income$-26M$-27M$-50M$-27M
Net Income$-39M$-36M$-51M$-59M
EPS (Diluted)$-2.56$-2.39$-3.33$-3.90
Gross Margin76.2%19.3%-60.0%21.8%
Operating Margin-58.7%-52.1%-144.3%-56.4%
Net Margin-88.4%-70.7%-145.3%-125.4%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesRevenue growth 35.7%

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 54/100Score impact: -50.7pt

Volume
75
455K avg/day
Dollar Vol
65
$12M/day
Float
10
8M shares
Mkt Cap
21
$437M
Range
100
956% spread
Composite Liquidity Score54/100
FDCBA
low floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 12/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$481.00$555.5014.4%Narrow
2022$489.00$504.503.1%Narrow
2023$17.05$3145.50197.8%Wide
2024$8.79$41.91130.7%Wide
2025$7.71$94.06169.7%Wide
3-Year Range
199%
Narrow Years
2 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
52.6%
Outstanding Shares
15M
Bid-Ask Spread
956.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.