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49

MXL

💻 Technology

MaxLinear, Inc.

Conservative #601Aggressive #75Low RiskModerate 70
$18.64+2.14%
Day High$18.77
Day Low$18.06
Volume1.7M
Mkt Cap$1.6B
52W Low $852W High $21
Market Cap
$1.6B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
29.7%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
44.3%
Profit Margin
-29.2%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.35

Why This Score

MXL scores 48.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (34%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (12.5%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-7.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score48.6
Fundamental Score46.7
ML Score77.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
51.0
6 Month
57.0
Primary
1 Year
60.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth — negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
70
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
76
Grade B
Base
47.8
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+0.6
Divergence
-2.3
Final
48.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)65.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)83.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.0% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-4.2% to +2.0%
Long-term
-5.4% to +2.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 77

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score63.2/100
Target Upside+34.7%
Coverage17 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score69.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+9.4%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.72)
Relative Strength vs Sector+30.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.7)
Momentum Quality+0.310
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P87
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P78
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P19
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 45 relative to sector peers45/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 60th percentileP60
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (45.1) + 9% ML (58.2) + SHAP(+2.5) = 48.8
Factor quality: +0.6pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 12.5%. Max drawdown 8% (-0.0 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.6B market cap)-8.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (114.4%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #141 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MXL48.6N/A29.7%-29.2%$1.6B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy17 analysts
Buy: 9Hold: 8
Price Target
$24consensus
Low $23Median $24High $25
+28.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

MaxLinear, Inc. provides radiofrequency (RF), high-performance analog, and mixed-signal communications systems-on-chip solutions (SoCs) for the connected home, wired and wireless infrastructure, and industrial and multi-market applications worldwide. Its products integrate various portions of a high-speed communication system, including RF, high-performance analog, mixed-signal, digital signal processing, security engines, data compression, networking layers, and power management. The company offers broadband radio transceiver front ends, data converters, embedded systems and software architecture, and architecture and system design for highly integrated end-to-end communication platform solutions. Its products are used in various electronic devices, such as cable data over cable service interface specifications (DOCSIS), fiber and DSL broadband modems and gateways; Wi-Fi and wireline routers for home networking; radio transceivers and modems for 4G/5G base-station and backhaul infrastructure; and fiber-optic modules for data center, metro, and long-haul transport networks, as well as power management and interface products. It serves electronics distributors, module makers, original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), and original design manufacturers (ODMs) through a direct sales force, third-party sales representatives, and a network of distributors. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.

CEO
Kishore Seendripu
Employees
1,294
Beta
1.71
Industry
Semiconductors
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-10.5%
High: $20.82
From 52W Low
+123.2%
Low: $8.35
Moving Averages
10-Day
$18.80
Below
20-Day
$18.40
Above
50-Day
$18.30
Above
200-Day
$15.90
Above
60-Day Support
$15.18
60-Day Resistance
$20.82
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 82/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+17.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+12.9%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.91x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
63
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$136M$126M$109M$96M
Gross Profit$79M$72M$61M$53M
Operating Income$-15M$-30M$-19M$-38M
Net Income$-15M$-45M$-27M$-50M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.17$-0.52$-0.31$-0.58
Gross Margin57.6%56.6%56.0%55.5%
Operating Margin-10.9%-23.7%-17.5%-39.8%
Net Margin-10.9%-36.0%-24.4%-51.8%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 29.7%

Tradability FilterGrade B — 76/100Score impact: -20.4pt

Volume
100
1.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
82
$22M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
51
$1.6B
Range
100
149% spread
Composite Liquidity Score76/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$30.47$77.8987.5%Wide
2022$29.27$77.5790.4%Wide
2023$13.43$43.65105.9%Wide
2024$11.08$26.5982.3%Wide
2025$8.35$25.73102%Wide
3-Year Range
135.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
149.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.