UCTT

💻 Technology

Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.

Conservative #779Aggressive #9Moderate RiskModerate 63ML↑ 19pt

Market Cap

$2.7B

P/E Ratio

N/A

Rev Growth

20.9%

Sector avg: 14.8%

Earnings Growth

176.2%

Profit Margin

-7.7%

Sector avg: -110.0%

Debt/Equity

0.92

Why This Score

UCTT scores 42.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths

ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (94/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.

Risk Factors

Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (125%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
Above-average volatility (22.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-9.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score42.6

Fundamental Score36.8

ML Score94.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month

54.5

6 Month

60.9

Primary

1 Year

64.1

Quality Assessment

Earnings Grade

Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation

3.6%

Confidence

medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score

Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)

Weinstein (12.1%)

100

Advancing

Sentiment (2.5%)

Neutral

Analyst (6.4%)

Favorable

Tradability (post-hoc)

Grade A

Base

45.2

SHAP

+2.5

Factors

+1.2

Divergence

-6.3

Final

42.6

Positive adjustment

Negative adjustment

Base blend

Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)61.0

Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)86.0

External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)56.0

Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score

Features

Confidence

Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term

+0.6% to +5.0%

Medium-term

+1.8% to +8.6%

Long-term

+3.0% to +12.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 94

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence

Consensus Score66.7/100

Target Upside-42.0%

Coverage12 analysts

Market Sentiment

Sentiment Score56.7/100

News Volume1 articles

Technical Stage

Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing

12M Momentum+1.3%

6M Momentum+1.3%

Volatility+0.2%

Momentum & Technical

Momentum Acceleration-5.4%

Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.96)

Relative Strength vs Sector+121.9%

Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)

Momentum Quality+1.096

Momentum BreadthBroad ✓

Macro Regime

Bull RegimeYes

High Vol RegimeNo

S&P 500 Return+25.0%

Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal

Low risk

Sector RevGr Rank

P74

Revenue growth vs Technology peers

Sector PE Rank

P78

Valuation vs Technology peers

Sector FCF Rank

P20

Free cash flow vs Technology peers

Growth Deviation

+0.2σ

Z-score vs sector median

Stagnation Flag

Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors

Fundamental score of 46 relative to sector peers46/100

Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 64th percentileP64

ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight

SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)—

Blend: 91% fund (45.7) + 9% ML (62.4) + SHAP(+2.5) = 49.7—

Factor quality: +1.2pt (multi-factor composite)—

Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 22.2%. Max drawdown 13% (-1.9 pts)Moderate

Momentum mean-reversion: -2.3pt (125% 12m momentum)—

Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.7B market cap)-4.0 pts

Divergence penalty: -1.2pt (ML 19pt higher)—

Risk Factors

Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B

Quality concern: High accrual ratio (149.4%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #176 of 289 stocks)

Stock	Score	P/E	Rev Growth	Margin	Mkt Cap
UCTTUltra Clean Holdings, Inc.	42.6	N/A	20.9%	-7.7%	$2.7B
MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.	84.8	91.7	21.2%	81.0%	$57.1B
ZMZoom Communications, Inc.	84.2	18.0	3.1%	21.7%	$27.7B
NVDANVIDIA Corporation	80.6	45.2	114.2%	55.8%	$4.5T
CRUSCirrus Logic, Inc.	79.7	19.1	6.0%	17.5%	$7.4B
ASMLASML Holding N.V. - New York Re	77.8	48.1	15.6%	29.4%	$546.0B
IDCCInterDigital, Inc.	77.4	31.8	-4.0%	48.8%	$9.7B
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.	77.1	27.6	5.3%	18.0%	$303.6B
RMBSRambus, Inc.	75.5	48.3	20.7%	32.3%	$11.0B
DBXDropbox, Inc.	75.3	13.9	1.9%	17.7%	$6.4B
FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.	75.0	17.3	26.7%	30.7%	$24.2B
SIMOSilicon Motion Technology Corporation	74.7	9.2	10.2%	13.8%	$4.5B
ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.	74.3	74.1	16.9%	20.6%	$165.1B
AAPLApple Inc.	72.5	33.1	6.4%	27.0%	$3.9T
OLEDUniversal Display Corporation	72.5	27.0	12.4%	34.3%	$5.9B
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.	72.3	36.4	4.4%	24.7%	$281.7B
Sector Average	47.4	87.8	14.8%	-110.0%	—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for UCTT.

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 20.9%Valuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade A — 88/100Score impact: -33.7pt

Volume

884K avg/day

Dollar Vol

100

$54M/day

Float

45M shares

Mkt Cap

$2.7B

Range

100

270% spread

Composite Liquidity Score88/100

FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100

Year	Low	High	Range	Status
2021	$39.00	$65.33	50.5%	Wide
2022	$23.32	$60.49	88.7%	Wide
2023	$22.15	$40.80	59.3%	Wide
2024	$31.01	$56.47	58.2%	Wide
2025	$16.66	$40.10	82.6%	Wide

3-Year Range

108.9%

Narrow Years

0 / 5

Sideways Penalty

None

Free Float

98.1%

Outstanding Shares

45M

Bid-Ask Spread

270.0%

Institutional Tradable

Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.