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MNKD

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

MannKind Corporation

Conservative #648Aggressive #867Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 30pt
$3.24-7.43%
Day High$3.72
Day Low$2.94
Volume31.4M
Mkt Cap$995M
52W Low $352W High $7
Market Cap
$1.7B
P/E Ratio
58.1
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
43.5%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
331.1%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

MNKD scores 48.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -5.07) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 58.1x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (10.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -10.4 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, MNKD would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score48.8
Fundamental Score62.1
ML Score25.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
82.4
6 Month
92.1
Primary
1 Year
96.9

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $1.7B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
64
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
52
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
76
Grade B
Base
52.7
SHAP
-1.6
Factors
+2.0
Conviction
-1.0
Divergence
-3.3
Final
48.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

55AVG
Value12.784899999999993
Quality37
Growth100
Stability70
Investment53

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)60.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)71.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)79.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+17.0% to +24.1%
Medium-term
+24.7% to +35.2%
Long-term
+35.2% to +49.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 25

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score51.5/100
Target Upside+68.0%
Coverage17 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score64.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-17.3%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.26)
Relative Strength vs Sector-18.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.6)
Momentum Quality+0.044
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P81
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P7
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P70
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 62 relative to sector peers62/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 25th percentileP25
Blended score: 80% fundamental (62) + 20% ML (25) = 54.754.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 26% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
Conviction adj: -1.0pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -3.3pt (ML 37pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $1.7B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #91 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MNKD48.858.143.5%9.3%$1.7B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy17 analysts
Buy: 8Hold: 2Sell: 7
Price Target
$10consensus
Low $9Median $10High $11
+208.6% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

MannKind Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development and commercialization of inhaled therapeutic products for endocrine and orphan lung diseases in the United States. It offers Afrezza, an inhaled insulin used to improve glycemic control in adults with diabetes. It also promotes Thyquidity to adult and pediatric endocrinologists, and other healthcare providers for the treatment of hypothyroidism. The company has a license and collaboration agreement with United Therapeutics Corporation. It also has an agreement with NRx Pharmaceuticals to develop a dry powder formulation of ZYESAMI (aviptadil), a synthetic form of human vasoactive intestinal peptide to help protect cells against inflammatory conditions. MannKind Corporation was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California.

CEO
Michael E. Castagna
Employees
403
Beta
0.76
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
16.5
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-50.2%
High: $6.51
From 52W Low
+10.2%
Low: $2.94
Moving Averages
10-Day
$5.10
Below
20-Day
$5.50
Below
50-Day
$5.60
Below
200-Day
$4.90
Below
60-Day Support
$2.94
60-Day Resistance
$6.51
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 16/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
-33.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+3.92%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.77x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
2
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$112M$82M$77M$78M
Gross Profit$88M$62M$56M$61M
Operating Income$-8M$19M$5M$22M
Net Income$-16M$8M$668,000$13M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.05$0.03$0.00$0.04
Gross Margin78.5%75.4%73.1%77.6%
Operating Margin-6.9%22.9%6.9%28.5%
Net Margin-14.2%9.7%0.9%16.8%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 43.5%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 76/100Score impact: +0.6pt

Volume
100
3.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
78
$19M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
54
$1.7B
Range
100
93% spread
Composite Liquidity Score76/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$3.12$6.2566.8%Wide
2022$2.49$5.4774.8%Wide
2023$3.30$5.7554.1%Wide
2024$3.17$7.6382.6%Wide
2025$3.38$6.6865.6%Wide
3-Year Range
82.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
93.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.