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31

LQDA

🏥 Healthcare

Liquidia Corporation

Conservative #1102Aggressive #528Moderate RiskHigh 89
$30.00-10.63%
Day High$33.90
Day Low$29.20
Volume4.8M
Mkt Cap$2.6B
52W Low $1152W High $47
Market Cap
$2.9B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-20.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-66.1%
Profit Margin
-176.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
9.03

Why This Score

LQDA scores 30.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (89/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (147%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (22.6%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 9.03) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -12.5 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, LQDA would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score30.7
Fundamental Score28.6
ML Score87.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
31.8
6 Month
35.5
Primary
1 Year
37.4

Quality Assessment

C
Earnings Grade
Mixed fundamentals, potential quality issues
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $2.9B biotech/pharma — likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 9.0x — balance sheet risk
Speculative Classification
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
87
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
71
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
91
Grade A
Base
34.3
SHAP
+0.6
Conviction
+2.3
Divergence
-6.5
Final
30.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)18.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)81.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)90.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-10.0% to -2.5%
Medium-term
-14.0% to -2.9%
Long-term
-17.9% to -3.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 87

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score71.4/100
Target Upside+55.8%
Coverage7 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score87.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.5%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+108.6%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.26)
Relative Strength vs Sector+122.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.204
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
15%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P8
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P40
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P41
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 49 relative to sector peers49/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 43th percentileP43
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.6pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (48.6) + 9% ML (42.0) + SHAP(+0.6) = 48.6
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 22.6%. Max drawdown 18% (-3.9 pts)Moderate
Momentum mean-reversion: -3.3pt (147% 12m momentum)
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.9B market cap)-4.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.3pt (conviction=89)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by -17 pointsGrade C
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (-155.0%) exceeds net margin (-176.0%) by 21pp — possible write-down; Pipeline concentration: $2.9B biotech/pharma — likely single-product revenue with binary risk; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 9.0x — balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #211 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
LQDA30.7N/A-20.0%-176.0%$2.9B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy7 analysts
Strong Buy: 1Buy: 5Sell: 1
Price Target
$51consensus
Low $47Median $50High $55
+68.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Liquidia Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, develops, manufactures, and commercializes various products for unmet patient needs in the United States. Its product candidates include YUTREPIA, an inhaled dry powder formulation of treprostinil for the treatment of pulmonary arterial hypertension. It also distributes generic treprostinil injection in the United States. Liquidia Corporation was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Morrisville, North Carolina.

CEO
Roger A. Jeffs
Employees
170
Beta
0.47
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
16.4
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-35.7%
High: $46.67
From 52W Low
+166.4%
Low: $11.26
Moving Averages
10-Day
$35.10
Below
20-Day
$39.10
Below
50-Day
$37.20
Below
200-Day
$25.80
Above
60-Day Support
$29.2
60-Day Resistance
$46.67
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 80/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+16.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+34.09%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.22x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$54M$9M$3M$3M
Gross Profit$51M$8M$2M$2M
Operating Income$2M$-38M$-35M$-36M
Net Income$-4M$-42M$-38M$-38M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.04$-0.49$-0.45$-0.45
Gross Margin94.2%85.4%51.4%53.6%
Operating Margin3.3%-424.4%-1135.4%-1237.8%
Net Margin-6.5%-470.5%-1229.7%-1315.4%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 91/100Score impact: -45.4pt

Volume
100
1.7M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$57M/day
Float
84
60M shares
Mkt Cap
62
$2.9B
Range
100
314% spread
Composite Liquidity Score91/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$2.25$5.4082.4%Wide
2022$3.26$8.7991.8%Wide
2023$5.67$12.3674.2%Wide
2024$8.26$16.9969.1%Wide
2025$11.26$36.41105.5%Wide
3-Year Range
146.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
69.1%
Outstanding Shares
87M
Bid-Ask Spread
314.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.