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57

HCSG

🏥 Healthcare

Healthcare Services Group, Inc.

Conservative #434Aggressive #470Low Risk
$21.76+0.83%
Day High$21.84
Day Low$21.38
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$1.5B
52W Low $952W High $23
Market Cap
$1.5B
P/E Ratio
24.6
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
7.1%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
49.6%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.05

Why This Score

HCSG scores 57.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.05) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (100/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (13.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-0.5 points) applied. HCSG's rank of #434 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score57.1
Fundamental Score57.3
ML Score39.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
69.4
6 Month
77.5
Primary
1 Year
81.6

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
66
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
59
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
80
Grade A
Base
53.6
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+1.6
Divergence
-0.5
Final
57.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

72AVG
Value66
Quality40
Growth77
Stability79
Investment100

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)59.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)87.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+5.2% to +10.4%
Medium-term
+8.8% to +16.7%
Long-term
+13.1% to +23.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 39

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.9/100
Target Upside+12.7%
Coverage14 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score65.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.1%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+67.3%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.36)
Relative Strength vs Sector+81.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.914
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
8%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P52
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P19
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P92
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 57 relative to sector peers57/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 39th percentileP39
Blended score: 80% fundamental (57) + 20% ML (39) = 53.653.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 13% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +1.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -0.5pt (ML 18pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #57 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HCSG57.124.67.1%3.2%$1.5B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy14 analysts
Buy: 7Hold: 5Sell: 2
Price Target
$23consensus
Low $22Median $23High $25
+7.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Healthcare Services Group, Inc. provides management, administrative, and operating services to the housekeeping, laundry, linen, facility maintenance, and dietary service departments of nursing homes, retirement complexes, rehabilitation centers, and hospitals in the United States. It operates through two segments, Housekeeping and Dietary. The Housekeeping segment engages in the cleaning, disinfecting, and sanitizing of resident rooms and common areas of the client's facility, as well as laundering and processing of the bed linens, uniforms, resident personal clothing, and other assorted linen items utilized at a client's facility. The Dietary segment provides food purchasing, meal preparation, and professional dietitian services, which include the development of menus that meet the dietary needs of residents. This segment also offers on-site management and clinical consulting services to facilities. As of December 31, 2021, the company provided its services to approximately 3,000 facilities. Healthcare Services Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1976 and is based in Bensalem, Pennsylvania.

CEO
Theodore Wahl
Employees
35,300
Beta
0.77
Industry
Medical - Care Facilities
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
64.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5.3%
High: $22.98
From 52W Low
+138.3%
Low: $9.13
Moving Averages
10-Day
$21.10
Above
20-Day
$20.30
Above
50-Day
$19.60
Above
200-Day
$16.70
Above
60-Day Support
$16.78
60-Day Resistance
$22.98
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+30.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+17.49%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.19x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$467M$464M$458M$448M
Gross Profit$76M$96M$3M$68M
Operating Income$26M$50M$-42M$22M
Net Income$31M$43M$-32M$17M
EPS (Diluted)$0.44$0.58$-0.44$0.23
Gross Margin16.3%20.8%0.6%15.2%
Operating Margin5.5%10.7%-9.1%4.8%
Net Margin6.7%9.3%-7.1%3.8%

Why This Stock

HealthcareP/E ratio of 24.6Valuation below sector median (P/E 24.6)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 80/100Score impact: -1.2pt

Volume
90
759K avg/day
Dollar Vol
72
$16M/day
Float
88
70M shares
Mkt Cap
49
$1.5B
Range
100
152% spread
Composite Liquidity Score80/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$16.25$32.9667.9%Wide
2022$11.55$20.5456%Wide
2023$8.75$15.9758.4%Wide
2024$8.98$13.0036.6%Wide
2025$9.13$20.2675.7%Wide
3-Year Range
79.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
98.6%
Outstanding Shares
70M
Bid-Ask Spread
152.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.