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37

KMTS

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

KESTRA MEDICAL TECHNOLOGIES, LTD.

Conservative #939Aggressive #234Moderate RiskMixed 51Fโ†‘ 24pt
$24.75-1.98%
Day High$25.41
Day Low$24.70
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$1.4B
52W Low $1352W High $30
Market Cap
$1.5B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
115.1%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-20.9%
Profit Margin
-178.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.02

Why This Score

KMTS scores 37.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.02) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (99/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -14.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, KMTS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score37.0
Fundamental Score36.4
ML Score99.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
23.4
6 Month
26.2
Primary
1 Year
27.6

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
47
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
67
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
64
Grade B
Base
46.9
SHAP
-2.6
Factors
-0.2
Divergence
-7.1
Final
37.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)53.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)79.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-17.2% to -10.9%
Medium-term
-23.0% to -13.9%
Long-term
-28.8% to -17.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 99

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.7/100
Target Upside+5.4%
Coverage3 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score47.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 โ€” Topping
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P93
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P28
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 62 relative to sector peers62/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 38th percentileP38
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: -2.6pt (features diverge from model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (62.2) + 9% ML (36.8) + SHAP(-2.6) = 57.3โ€”
Factor quality: -0.2pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 20.0%Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.5B market cap)-8.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -2.1pt (fund 24pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (34.1%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #159 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
KMTS37.0N/A115.1%-178.0%$1.5B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB85.613.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX82.113.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
ASND75.816.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
NBIX74.826.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
AMGN73.926.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.535.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.419.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ISRG72.261.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
EXEL71.615.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
ALKS71.516.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
HALO70.316.822.4%43.7%$8.2B
Sector Average37.041.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy3 analysts
Buy: 2Hold: 1
Price Target
$28consensus
Low $24Median $29High $30
+13.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Kestra Medical Technologies, Ltd. operates as a wearable medical device and digital healthcare company. It focuses on transforming patient outcomes in cardiovascular disease using monitoring and therapeutic intervention technologies that are intuitive, intelligent, and connected. The company develops and commercializes Cardiac Recovery System platform, a system that integrates monitoring, therapeutic treatment, digital health, and patient support services into a single, unified solution. Its Cardiac Recovery System platform is the ASSURE WCD, a wearable cardioverter defibrillator (WCD) used to protect patients at an elevated risk of sudden cardiac arrest (SCA). The company's Cardiac Recovery System platform also includes a suite of integrated digital solutions and services that enable enhanced patient and provider engagement and oversight with the objective of improving patient outcomes. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in Kirkland, Washington.

CEO
Brian Webster
Employees
300
Beta
-0.23
Industry
Medical - Instruments & Supplies
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
48.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-16.9%
High: $30
From 52W Low
+88.2%
Low: $13.25
Moving Averages
10-Day
$26.20
Below
20-Day
$26.00
Below
50-Day
$25.60
Below
200-Day
$22.20
Above
60-Day Support
$21.37
60-Day Resistance
$28.84
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 โ€” ToppingScore: 21/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+12.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
0%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.91x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
46
Confidence: 70%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-13)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$23M$19M$17M$15M
Gross Profit$11M$9M$8M$7M
Operating Income$-32M$-29M$-48M$-21M
Net Income$-33M$-26M$-52M$-22M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.64$-0.50$-2.21$-0.50
Gross Margin50.6%45.7%44.3%43.4%
Operating Margin-140.7%-149.1%-279.8%-136.5%
Net Margin-145.3%-133.3%-302.1%-142.5%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 115.1%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 64/100Score impact: -32.8pt

Volume
63
331K avg/day
Dollar Vol
58
$9M/day
Float
63
33M shares
Mkt Cap
51
$1.5B
Range
100
126% spread
Composite Liquidity Score64/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
56.0%
Outstanding Shares
58M
Bid-Ask Spread
126.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.