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65

DOCU

💻 Technology

DocuSign, Inc.

Conservative #192Aggressive #142Moderate RiskMixed 44
$43.26+0.96%
Day High$43.58
Day Low$40.16
Volume6.5M
Mkt Cap$8.7B
52W Low $4052W High $95
Market Cap
$9.0B
P/E Ratio
31.3
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
7.8%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
1343.5%
Profit Margin
35.9%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.06

Why This Score

DOCU scores 65.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 53.3% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 35.9%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.06) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (97/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Moderate penalties (-3.8 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score65.1
Fundamental Score56.8
ML Score97.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
57.0
6 Month
63.7
Primary
1 Year
67.1

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
53
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
57
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
96
Grade A
Base
64.9
SHAP
+2.3
Factors
+1.7
Divergence
-3.8
Final
65.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

72AVG
Value55
Quality95
Growth90
Stability90
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)70.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)29.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)78.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.4% to +2.7%
Medium-term
-1.6% to +4.7%
Long-term
-1.8% to +6.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 97

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score57.4/100
Target Upside+65.5%
Coverage27 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score53.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.5%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-4.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.90)
Relative Strength vs Sector-49.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality-0.233
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
20%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P43
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P39
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P89
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 80 relative to sector peers80/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 67th percentileP67
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (79.6) + 9% ML (66.7) + SHAP(+2.4) = 80.8
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 8.1%. Max drawdown 49% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -46% (-8.2 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($9.0B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -0.6pt (conviction=44)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Non-operating gain: net margin (35.9%) exceeds operating margin (6.7%) by 29pp — likely one-time item; Earnings growth (1343%) massively exceeds revenue growth (7.8%) — earnings spike likely non-recurring; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of 173x — earnings quality suspectFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #50 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
DOCU65.131.37.8%35.9%$9.0B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold27 analysts
Buy: 8Hold: 18Sell: 1
Price Target
$69consensus
Low $45Median $75High $80
+58.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

DocuSign, Inc. provides electronic signature software in the United States and internationally. The company provides e-signature solution that enables businesses to digitally prepare, sign, act on, and manage agreements. It also offers CLM, which automates workflows across the entire agreement process; Insights that use artificial intelligence (AI) to search and analyze agreements by legal concepts and clauses; Gen for Salesforce, which allows sales representatives to automatically generate agreements with a few clicks from within Salesforce; Negotiate for Salesforce that supports for approvals, document comparisons, and version control; Analyzer, which helps customers understand what they're signing before they sign it; and CLM+ that provide AI-driven contract lifecycle management. The company provides Guided Forms, which enable complex forms to be filled via an interactive and step-by-step process; Click that supports no-signature-required agreements for standard terms and consents; Identify, a signer-identification option for checking government-issued IDs; Standards-Based Signatures, which support signatures that involve digital certificates; Payments that enables customers to collect signatures and payment; Remote Online Notary is a solution using audio-visual and identify verification technologies to enable notarization; and Monitor using advanced analytics to track DocuSign eSignature web, mobile, and API account. It offers industry-specific cloud offerings, including Rooms for Real Estate that provides a way for brokers and agents to manage the entire real estate transaction digitally; Rooms for Mortgage, which offers digital workspace to create and close mortgages; FedRAMP, an authorized version of DocuSign eSignature for U.S. federal government agencies; and life sciences modules that support compliance with the electronic signature practices. The company sells its products through direct, partner-assisted, and Web-based sales. It serves enterprise, commercial, and small businesses. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

CEO
Allan C. Thygesen
Employees
6,838
Beta
1.01
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
37.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-54.3%
High: $94.67
From 52W Low
+7.7%
Low: $40.16
Moving Averages
10-Day
$43.90
Below
20-Day
$46.70
Below
50-Day
$57.80
Below
200-Day
$71.20
Below
60-Day Support
$40.16
60-Day Resistance
$72.35
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 1/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-39.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-8.41%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.39x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$818M$801M$764M$776M
Gross Profit$648M$635M$606M$616M
Operating Income$85M$65M$60M$60M
Net Income$84M$63M$72M$83M
EPS (Diluted)$0.40$0.30$0.34$0.39
Gross Margin79.2%79.3%79.4%79.4%
Operating Margin10.4%8.1%7.9%7.8%
Net Margin10.2%7.9%9.4%10.8%

Why This Stock

TechnologyProfit margin 35.9%Earnings quality grade F

Tradability FilterGrade A — 96/100Score impact: -9.5pt

Volume
100
3.8M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$160M/day
Float
100
198M shares
Mkt Cap
76
$9.0B
Range
100
134% spread
Composite Liquidity Score96/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$131.51$314.7682.1%Wide
2022$39.57$157.37119.6%Wide
2023$38.11$69.4558.3%Wide
2024$48.70$107.8675.6%Wide
2025$63.41$99.3044.1%Wide
3-Year Range
95.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.0%
Outstanding Shares
200M
Bid-Ask Spread
134.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.