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13

CLFD

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

Clearfield, Inc.

Conservative #1354Aggressive #1248Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 33pt
$32.20-2.22%
Day High$33.13
Day Low$31.91
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$446M
52W Low $2452W High $47
Market Cap
$450M
P/E Ratio
72.3
Sector avg: 49.8
Rev Growth
19.6%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
35.4%
Profit Margin
-4.4%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
3.24

Why This Score

CLFD scores 13.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 72.3x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (13.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 3.24) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -15.3 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CLFD would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score13.1
Fundamental Score27.8
ML Score11.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
67.3
6 Month
75.2
Primary
1 Year
79.1

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 3.2x โ€” balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
53
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
36
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
9.4
SHAP
+2.6
Factors
+1.4
Divergence
-0.3
Final
13.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

50AVG
Value33
Quality11
Growth86
Stability47
Investment73

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)32.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)61.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage81%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+4.7% to +10.0%
Medium-term
+8.0% to +16.0%
Long-term
+11.9% to +22.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 11

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+36.6%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score52.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 โ€” Basing
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.7%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.22)
Relative Strength vs Sector-2.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.1)
Momentum Quality+0.006
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P73
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P14
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P51
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 28 relative to sector peers28/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 11th percentileP11
Blended score: 80% fundamental (28) + 20% ML (11) = 24.424.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 33% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +2.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.3pt (ML 17pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 3.2x โ€” balance sheet riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #282 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CLFD13.172.319.6%-4.4%$450M
MPWR85.191.721.2%81.0%$56.6B
ZM84.518.03.1%21.7%$22.4B
NVDA80.745.2114.2%55.8%$4.6T
CRUS80.319.16.0%17.5%$7.3B
CSCO78.027.65.3%18.0%$311.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$566.0B
RMBS77.748.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
IDCC77.731.8-4.0%48.8%$9.6B
ADI75.674.116.9%20.6%$173.8B
FSLR75.317.326.7%30.7%$22.3B
SIMO74.59.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
AAPL74.433.16.4%27.0%$4.0T
DBX74.013.91.9%17.7%$6.7B
LRCX73.948.323.7%29.1%$295.9B
TER73.790.95.4%19.2%$53.1B
Sector Average48.149.814.8%-110.0%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Clearfield, Inc. manufactures, markets, and sells standard and custom passive connectivity products to the fiber-to-the-premises, enterprises, and original equipment manufacturers markets in the United States and internationally. The company offers FieldSmart, a series of panels, cabinets, wall boxes, and other enclosures. It also provides WaveSmart, which are optical components integrated for signal coupling, splitting, termination, multiplexing, demultiplexing, and attenuation for integration within its fiber management platform; and outdoor cabinet and fiber active cabinet products. The company offers StreetSmart, a portfolio of fiber management products; FieldShield, a fiber pathway and protection method for reducing the cost of broadband deployment; and YOURx platform that consists of hardened terminals, test access points, and various drop cable options for portions of the access network across various fiber drop cable media. It also provides CraftSmart, a line of optical protection field enclosures, including CraftSmart Fiber Protection Pedestals and CraftSmart Fiber Protection Vaults integrated solutions optimized to house FieldSmart products at the last mile access point of the network in above-grade or below-grade installations. The company offers fiber and copper assemblies with an industry-standard or customer-specified configuration; and designs and manufactures custom solutions for in-the-box and network connectivity assemblies specific to that customer's product line. It provides its fiber to anywhere platform for various incumbent local exchange carriers, competitive local exchange carriers, wireless operators, and multiple systems operators and cable TV companies, as well as the utility/municipality, enterprise, and data center markets. The company was formerly known as APA Enterprises, Inc. and changed its name to Clearfield, Inc. in January 2008. Clearfield, Inc. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

CEO
Cheryl Beranek
Employees
400
Beta
1.95
Industry
Communication Equipment
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
65.3
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-31.1%
High: $46.76
From 52W Low
+35.4%
Low: $23.78
Moving Averages
10-Day
$32.30
Below
20-Day
$31.40
Above
50-Day
$30.80
Above
200-Day
$34.80
Below
60-Day Support
$27.26
60-Day Resistance
$33.66
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 1 โ€” BasingScore: 37/100

Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.

Monitor for breakout above 200-day SMA on volume
Transition signal: 1โ†’2
Price vs 200 SMA
-7.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.67%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.65x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
79
Confidence: 80%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$34M$18M$50M$47M
Gross Profit$11M$13M$15M$14M
Operating Income$-2M$4M$1M$262,000
Net Income$-614,000$-9M$2M$1M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.04$-0.65$0.12$0.09
Gross Margin33.2%73.5%30.5%30.1%
Operating Margin-5.3%24.6%3.0%0.6%
Net Margin-1.8%-51.6%3.2%2.8%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 19.6%

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 36/100Score impact: -29.3pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
27
131K avg/day
Dollar Vol
39
$4M/day
Float
21
11M shares
Mkt Cap
24
$450M
Range
100
97% spread
Composite Liquidity Score36/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$27.67$86.71103.2%Wide
2022$44.15$134.90101.4%Wide
2023$22.91$100.00125.4%Wide
2024$24.78$44.8357.6%Wide
2025$23.78$46.7665.2%Wide
3-Year Range
125.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
81.3%
Outstanding Shares
14M
Bid-Ask Spread
97.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.