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TSAT

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

Telesat Corporation

Conservative #1120Aggressive #701Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 17pt
$32.13-2.58%
Day High$33.55
Day Low$31.81
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$472M
52W Low $1552W High $37
Market Cap
$485M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
N/A
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Profit Margin
-34.5%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
4.96

Why This Score

TSAT scores 28.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (19.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 4.96) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-8.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score28.1
Fundamental Score35.2
ML Score30.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
41.2
6 Month
46.1
Primary
1 Year
48.5

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 5.0x โ€” balance sheet risk
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth โ€” negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.2%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
50
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
41
Grade Clow volume, low dollar volume
Base
26.2
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
+0.3
Final
28.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

33AVG
Value50
Quality4
Growth50
Stability52
Investment11

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)33.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)81.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)50.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage88%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.9% to +0.4%
Medium-term
-5.9% to +0.6%
Long-term
-7.8% to +0.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 30

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside-33.7%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score49.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+22.1%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.55)
Relative Strength vs Sector+46.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.6)
Momentum Quality+0.408
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P20
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P56
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P1
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 35 relative to sector peers35/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 30th percentileP30
Blended score: 80% fundamental (35) + 20% ML (30) = 34.234.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 18% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 5.0x โ€” balance sheet riskFlag
Speculative: SPEC_GROWTH (3.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #247 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TSAT28.1N/AN/A-34.5%$485M
MPWR85.191.721.2%81.0%$56.6B
ZM84.518.03.1%21.7%$22.4B
NVDA80.745.2114.2%55.8%$4.6T
CRUS80.319.16.0%17.5%$7.3B
CSCO78.027.65.3%18.0%$311.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$566.0B
RMBS77.748.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
IDCC77.731.8-4.0%48.8%$9.6B
ADI75.674.116.9%20.6%$173.8B
FSLR75.317.326.7%30.7%$22.3B
SIMO74.59.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
AAPL74.433.16.4%27.0%$4.0T
DBX74.013.91.9%17.7%$6.7B
LRCX73.948.323.7%29.1%$295.9B
TER73.790.95.4%19.2%$53.1B
Sector Average48.149.814.8%-110.0%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Price Target
$20consensus
Low $20Median $20High $20
-37.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Telesat Corporation, a satellite operator, provides mission-critical communications services to broadcast, enterprise, and consulting customers worldwide. The company's satellite-based services allow direct-to-home (DTH) service providers to deliver television programming, audio, and information channels directly to customers' homes; and enables broadcasters, cable networks, and DTH service providers to transmit television programming services. It offers value-added services, such as satellite capacity, digital encoding of video channels, authorization, and uplinking and downlinking services; and occasional use services for the broadcast of video news, sports, and live event coverages. The company also provides satellite capacity and end-to-end services, including space segment services and terrestrial facilities for enterprise connectivity, and internet and cellular backhaul; and rural telephony to telecommunications carriers and network services integrators. In addition, it offers broadband communication services to maritime and aeronautical markets comprising commercial airplanes and vessels; services to the U.S. government through government service integrators, and satellite services to the Canadian government; and direct-to-consumer broadband services. Further, the company operates satellite and hybrid satellite/terrestrial networks; and communications services for the oil and gas and mining industries. Additionally, it provides satellite operator services; and consulting services related to space and earth segments, government studies, satellite control, and research and development services. The company offers its services primarily through a direct sales force. As of December 31, 2021, it operated a fleet of 14 in-orbit geostationary satellites and a Canadian payload on the ViaSat-1 satellite. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Ottawa, Canada.

CEO
Daniel S. Goldberg
Employees
610
Beta
2.04
Industry
Communication Equipment
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
80.2
Overbought
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-12.8%
High: $36.85
From 52W Low
+117.5%
Low: $14.77
Moving Averages
10-Day
$29.70
Above
20-Day
$28.60
Above
50-Day
$29.70
Above
200-Day
$25.70
Above
60-Day Support
$23.76
60-Day Resistance
$36.77
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 87/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+25%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+15.13%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.61x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
14
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$101M$106M$117M$128M
Gross Profit$96M$102M$110M$118M
Operating Income$6M$18M$31M$-228M
Net Income$-35M$21M$-16M$-126M
EPS (Diluted)$-2.38$1.38$-1.08$-8.97
Gross Margin95.3%95.9%94.2%92.2%
Operating Margin5.9%16.8%26.4%-177.8%
Net Margin-34.9%19.8%-13.3%-98.7%

Why This Stock

Technology

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 41/100Score impact: -27.5pt

Volume
33
149K avg/day
Dollar Vol
44
$5M/day
Float
31
14M shares
Mkt Cap
24
$485M
Range
100
149% spread
Composite Liquidity Score41/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap
Free Float
98.2%
Outstanding Shares
15M
Bid-Ask Spread
149.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.