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BMRC

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Bank of Marin Bancorp

Conservative #190Aggressive #202Low Risk
$24.89-5.74%
Day High$26.00
Day Low$24.75
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$401M
52W Low $1952W High $28
Market Cap
$409M
P/E Ratio
10.0
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
51.8%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
616.2%
Profit Margin
24.6%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.11

Why This Score

BMRC scores 67.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 24.6%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 10.0x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (5.3% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (18%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (100/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -15.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, BMRC would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score67.7
Fundamental Score77.1
ML Score85.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
78.9
6 Month
88.1
Primary
1 Year
92.8

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-266.5%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
56
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
62
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
28
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
63.7
SHAP
+2.0
Factors
+0.5
Conviction
+1.4
Final
67.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

77AVG
Value87
Quality48
Growth100
Stability88
Investment61

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)80.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)81.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)79.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+6.1% to +11.5%
Medium-term
+10.1% to +18.3%
Long-term
+15.4% to +26.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 85

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score61.7/100
Target Upside+15.4%
Coverage15 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score55.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+3.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.81)
Relative Strength vs Sector+8.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.3)
Momentum Quality+0.164
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P94
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P83
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P62
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.7ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 77 relative to sector peers77/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 85th percentileP85
Blended score: 80% fundamental (77) + 20% ML (85) = 78.778.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 7% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.4pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-266.5%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #76 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BMRC67.710.051.8%24.6%$409M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold15 analysts
Buy: 7Hold: 8
Price Target
$30consensus
Low $29Median $30High $31
+19.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Bank of Marin Bancorp operates as the holding company for Bank of Marin that provides a range of financial services primarily to small to medium-sized businesses, professionals, not-for-profit organizations, and individuals in California, the United States. It offers personal and business checking and savings accounts; and individual retirement, health savings, and demand deposit marketplace accounts, as well as time certificates of deposit, certificate of deposit account registry and insured cash sweep services. The company also provides commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, and consumer loans, as well as construction financing and home equity lines of credit. In addition, it offers merchant and payroll, and cash management services; credit cards; fraud detection tools; and mobile deposit, remote deposit capture, automated clearing house, wire transfer, and image lockbox services. Further, the company provides wealth management and trust services comprising customized investment portfolio management, financial planning, trust administration, estate settlement, and custody services, as well as 401(k) plan services; and automated teller machines, and telephone and digital banking services. It operates through 12 branch offices in Marin, southern Sonoma counties, and north of San Francisco, California; and a loan production office in San Francisco. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Novato, California.

CEO
Timothy D. Myers
Employees
291
Beta
0.87
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
26.6
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-12.6%
High: $28.48
From 52W Low
+30%
Low: $19.14
Moving Averages
10-Day
$26.50
Below
20-Day
$26.90
Below
50-Day
$26.70
Below
200-Day
$24.80
Above
60-Day Support
$24.66
60-Day Resistance
$28.48
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 54/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+0.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.09%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.02x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
90
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Down

Entry & Exit Zones

Below Entry Zone
$23.57
Stop Entry Now Target
$33.89
Entry Zone
$26.43 โ€“ $27.50
SMA50 pullback zone ($26.43โ€“$27.5)
Exit Target
$32.90
52-week high / +22% target ($32.9)
Stop Level
$24.30
Below SMA200 ($24.3)
Risk / Reward:1 : 2.23Acceptable

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$79M$41M$20M$37M
Gross Profit$69M$30M$9M$27M
Operating Income$47M$10M$-11M$6M
Net Income$40M$8M$-9M$5M
EPS (Diluted)$2.49$0.47$-0.53$0.30
Gross Margin86.6%73.2%47.1%72.1%
Operating Margin58.9%23.6%-57.1%17.4%
Net Margin49.9%18.5%-43.5%13.1%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 10.0Revenue growth 51.8%Profit margin 24.6%Valuation below sector median (P/E 10.0)

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 28/100Score impact: -9.3pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
16
99K avg/day
Dollar Vol
19
$3M/day
Float
31
14M shares
Mkt Cap
22
$409M
Range
84
49% spread
Composite Liquidity Score28/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$30.69$42.0031.1%Moderate
2022$29.88$39.6528.1%Moderate
2023$12.89$33.7089.3%Wide
2024$14.11$27.1163.1%Wide
2025$19.14$28.4839.2%Wide
3-Year Range
89.3%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
89.7%
Outstanding Shares
16M
Bid-Ask Spread
49.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.