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27

BBNX

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Beta Bionics, Inc.

Conservative #1117Aggressive #530High RiskFโ†‘ 23pt
$13.02+1.01%
Day High$13.15
Day Low$12.73
Volume1.0M
Mkt Cap$573M
52W Low $952W High $33
Market Cap
$563M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
53.9%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-33.7%
Profit Margin
-73.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.04

Why This Score

BBNX scores 28.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.04) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (29.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-3.4 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score28.3
Fundamental Score25.4
ML Score50.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
30.4
6 Month
34.0
Primary
1 Year
35.8

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
2.7%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
59
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
71
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
75
Grade B
Base
28.3
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
+0.2
Divergence
-1.4
Final
28.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

33AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth50
Stability48
Investment16

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)26.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.7% to -1.1%
Medium-term
-8.2% to -1.4%
Long-term
-10.8% to -1.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 50

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score71.4/100
Target Upside+61.6%
Coverage7 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score58.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-7.5%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.78)
Relative Strength vs Sector-57.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.2)
Momentum Quality-0.148
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P85
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P21
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 25 relative to sector peers25/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 50th percentileP50
Blended score: 80% fundamental (25) + 20% ML (50) = 30.330.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.3%; Drawdown 56% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -1.4pt (ML 25pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #215 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
BBNX28.3N/A53.9%-73.0%$563M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy7 analysts
Buy: 6Hold: 1
Price Target
$22consensus
Low $14Median $23High $32
+71.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Beta Bionics, Inc., a commercial-stage medical device company, engages in the design, development, and commercialization of solutions to enhance the health and quality of life of insulin-requiring people with diabetes. It offers iLet Bionic Pancreas, an insulin delivery device for the treatment of type 1 diabetes in adults and children six years of age and older. The company is also developing Patch Pump, an insulin pump that is designed to adhere directly to the skin and administer insulin without the need for tubing; Bihormonal iLet, which combines automated delivery of insulin and glucagon; and iLet to treat people with insulin-dependent type-2 diabetes. It has collaboration and license agreement with Xeris Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (Xeris) to develop and commercialize a pump-compatible glucagon formulation; and development and commercialization agreement with Abbott Diabetes Care Inc. to develop and commercialize an automated insulin delivery system. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Irvine, California.

CEO
Sean T. Saint
Employees
352
Beta
5.65
Industry
Medical - Equipment & Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
47.9
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-60.2%
High: $32.71
From 52W Low
+46.5%
Low: $8.89
Moving Averages
10-Day
$13.50
Below
20-Day
$13.80
Below
50-Day
$20.30
Below
200-Day
$20.20
Below
60-Day Support
$11.33
60-Day Resistance
$32.58
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 25/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
-35.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+12.24%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
32
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$32M$27M$23M$18M
Gross Profit$19M$15M$13M$9M
Operating Income$-16M$-17M$-20M$-19M
Net Income$-13M$-14M$-17M$-29M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.30$-0.33$-0.39$-0.93
Gross Margin59.0%55.5%53.8%50.9%
Operating Margin-50.2%-62.5%-85.5%-105.7%
Net Margin-41.9%-52.1%-72.6%-162.5%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 53.9%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 75/100Score impact: -41.5pt

Volume
100
1.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
74
$17M/day
Float
57
27M shares
Mkt Cap
32
$563M
Range
100
268% spread
Composite Liquidity Score75/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
60.3%
Outstanding Shares
44M
Bid-Ask Spread
268.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.