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ACNB

🏦 Financial Services

ACNB Corporation

Conservative #631Aggressive #694Low RiskLow 31ML↑ 34pt
$51.17+3.56%
Day High$51.60
Day Low$49.36
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$531M
52W Low $3652W High $54
Market Cap
$538M
P/E Ratio
14.5
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
28.9%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
16.3%
Profit Margin
19.4%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.78

Why This Score

ACNB scores 47.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 14.5x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (3.1% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (32%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -25.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ACNB would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score47.6
Fundamental Score69.5
ML Score65.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
67.0
6 Month
74.9
Primary
1 Year
78.9

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
52
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, low dollar volume
Base
47.3
SHAP
+3.3
Factors
+0.7
Divergence
-3.7
Final
47.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)68.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)88.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.3% to +4.0%
Medium-term
+0.4% to +7.0%
Long-term
+1.2% to +10.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 65

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+4.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score52.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+14.6%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.55)
Relative Strength vs Sector+23.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.317
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P86
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P42
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P65
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 44 relative to sector peers44/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 79th percentileP79
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +5.0pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (44.3) + 9% ML (78.7) + SHAP(+5.0) = 52.4—
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 3.1%. Stability bonus of +12.0 pointsLow
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.5B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.8pt (conviction=31)—
Divergence penalty: -3.7pt (ML 34pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-41.9%) — earnings quality concern; CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #181 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ACNB47.614.528.9%19.4%$538M
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy2 analysts
Buy: 2
Price Target
$52consensus
Low $52Median $52High $52
+1.6% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

ACNB Corporation, a financial holding company, provides banking, insurance, and financial services to individual, business, and government customers in the United States. The company offers checking, savings, and money market deposit accounts, as well as time deposits and debit cards. It also provides commercial lending products, such as commercial mortgages, real estate development and construction loans, accounts receivable and inventory financing, and agricultural and governmental loans; consumer lending products, including home equity loans and lines of credit, automobile and recreational vehicle loans, manufactured housing loans, and personal lines of credit; and mortgage lending programs include personal residential mortgages, and residential construction and investment mortgage loans. In addition, the company provides other services that are related to testamentary trusts, life insurance trusts, charitable remainder trusts, guardianships, powers of attorney, custodial accounts, and investment management and advisory accounts; and retail brokerage services. Further, it acts as a trustee to invest in, protect, manage, and distribute financial assets. Additionally, the company offers property and casualty, health, life, and disability insurance products to commercial and individual clients; and online, telephone, and mobile banking, as well as automated teller machine services. As of December 31, 2021, it operated through a network of 19 community banking offices located in Pennsylvania, including 12 offices in Adams county, five offices in York county, one office in Cumberland County, and one office in Franklin County; five community banking offices located in Frederick County; six community banking offices located in Carroll county, Maryland; and loan offices located in Lancaster and York, Pennsylvania, and Hunt Valley, Maryland. The company was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Gettysburg, Pennsylvania.

CEO
James Helt
Employees
391
Beta
0.86
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
38.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-5%
High: $53.89
From 52W Low
+43.3%
Low: $35.7
Moving Averages
10-Day
$51.60
Below
20-Day
$51.60
Below
50-Day
$50.40
Above
200-Day
$45.90
Above
60-Day Support
$46.86
60-Day Resistance
$53.89
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 72/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+11.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.44%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.17x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$46M$51M$50M$43M
Gross Profit$35M$41M$40M$29M
Operating Income$13M$19M$15M$-549,000
Net Income$11M$15M$12M$-272,000
EPS (Diluted)$1.04$1.42$1.11$-0.03
Gross Margin77.1%81.1%80.1%66.2%
Operating Margin28.6%37.2%29.7%-1.3%
Net Margin23.5%29.2%23.2%-0.6%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 14.5Revenue growth 28.9%Profit margin 19.4%

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -12.1pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
29K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$1M/day
Float
0
10M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$538M
Range
0
51% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumelow dollar volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 11/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$27.00$33.7422.2%Narrow
2022$28.40$41.2837%Wide
2023$27.00$48.5557%Wide
2024$30.24$50.7250.6%Wide
2025$35.70$53.4139.7%Wide
3-Year Range
65.7%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
96.5%
Outstanding Shares
10M
Bid-Ask Spread
51.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.