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15

ACDC

⚡ Energy

ProFrac Holding Corp.

Conservative #1333Aggressive #1165High Risk
$4.95-1.39%
Day High$5.09
Day Low$4.90
Volume1.1M
Mkt Cap$895M
52W Low $352W High $11
Market Cap
$960M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-16.7%
Sector avg: 46.1%
Earnings Growth
-120.2%
Profit Margin
-16.8%
Sector avg: 0.4%
Debt/Equity
1.40

Why This Score

ACDC scores 15.0 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (87/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (39.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.40) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-9.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score15.0
Fundamental Score16.0
ML Score29.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
43.6
6 Month
48.7
Primary
1 Year
51.3

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality — significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
2%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
22
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
42
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
63
Grade Blow float
Base
16.6
SHAP
-3.5
Factors
-0.1
Conviction
+2.0
Final
15.0
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

26AVG
Value50
Quality1
Growth3
Stability25
Investment53

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)29.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)37.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)41.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-7.7% to -0.7%
Medium-term
-11.4% to -0.8%
Long-term
-15.0% to -1.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 29

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score41.7/100
Target Upside-11.7%
Coverage6 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score22.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.4%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-60.7%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.65)
Relative Strength vs Sector-40.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.6)
Momentum Quality-0.102
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
9%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P29
Revenue growth vs Energy peers
Sector PE Rank
P29
Valuation vs Energy peers
Sector FCF Rank
P46
Free cash flow vs Energy peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 16 relative to sector peers16/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 29th percentileP29
Blended score: 80% fundamental (16) + 20% ML (29) = 18.618.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.4%; Drawdown 58% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered — see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
Conviction adj: +2.0pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Energy — Rank #22 of 24 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ACDC15.0N/A-16.7%-16.8%$960M
VNOM72.118.24.0%41.8%$15.3B
FANG68.111.932.2%30.3%$48.6B
TRMD65.69.72.6%21.4%$3.0B
WFRD61.517.1-10.8%8.8%$7.4B
CHRD60.834.534.8%16.2%$5.9B
BKR57.823.5-0.3%9.3%$64.3B
SHLS51.054.1-18.4%7.7%$1.0B
GLNG47.379.9-12.8%18.0%$4.5B
APA47.26.717.6%8.3%$10.5B
CLMT46.3N/A-100.0%0.0%$2.6B
ENPH44.835.410.7%11.7%$6.1B
EXE44.033.5-45.7%-16.9%$24.8B
APC39.415.712.4%4.6%$11.5B
PTEN38.7N/A-10.3%-1.9%$3.2B
PNRG34.212.390.0%12.9%$321M
Sector Average40.129.946.1%0.4%

Company Overviewvia FMP

ProFrac Holding Corp., a vertically integrated and energy services company, provides hydraulic fracturing, completion, and other products and services to upstream oil and gas companies engaged in the exploration and production of North American unconventional oil and natural gas resources. It operates through three segments: Stimulation Services, Manufacturing, and Proppant Production. The company also manufactures and sells high horsepower pumps, valves, piping, swivels, large-bore manifold systems, seats, and fluid ends. ProFrac Holding Corp. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Willow Park, Texas.

CEO
Johnathan Ladd Wilks
Employees
3,077
Beta
1.70
Industry
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
39.1
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-53.7%
High: $10.7
From 52W Low
+60.7%
Low: $3.08
Moving Averages
10-Day
$5.30
Below
20-Day
$5.30
Below
50-Day
$4.70
Above
200-Day
$5.30
Below
60-Day Support
$3.59
60-Day Resistance
$5.75
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 18/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-6.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-8.15%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.06x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
6
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
No entry — active downtrend
Exit Target
Exit position if held
Stop Level
No stop — exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend — price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$403M$502M$600M$455M
Gross Profit$-24M$23M$75M$4M
Operating Income$-79M$-54M$16M$-47M
Net Income$-101M$-106M$-18M$-105M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.60$-0.67$-0.12$-0.66
Gross Margin-6.0%4.5%12.5%0.8%
Operating Margin-19.5%-10.8%2.7%-10.3%
Net Margin-25.0%-21.1%-2.9%-23.1%

Why This Stock

EnergyValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade B — 63/100Score impact: -36.8pt

Volume
100
1.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
52
$6M/day
Float
20
11M shares
Mkt Cap
38
$960M
Range
100
247% spread
Composite Liquidity Score63/100
FDCBA
low float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2022$13.18$27.0068.8%Wide
2023$7.58$25.44108.2%Wide
2024$5.16$9.7561.6%Wide
2025$3.08$10.70110.6%Wide
3-Year Range
156.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 4
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.21x dampening
weinstein basingsevere revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
6.0%
Outstanding Shares
181M
Bid-Ask Spread
247.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.