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WEYS

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

Weyco Group, Inc.

Conservative #900Aggressive #1375Low RiskFโ†‘ 15pt
$32.49+1.85%
Day High$32.62
Day Low$31.50
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$310M
52W Low $2652W High $37
Market Cap
$306M
P/E Ratio
12.4
Sector avg: 36.9
Rev Growth
-8.7%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
0.4%
Profit Margin
8.7%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.05

Why This Score

WEYS scores 38.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 12.4x earnings, below the market average.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.05) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (79/100) โ€” fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -27.3 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, WEYS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score38.9
Fundamental Score63.4
ML Score57.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
64.2
6 Month
71.8
Primary
1 Year
75.6

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
34.9
SHAP
+3.2
Factors
+0.8
Final
38.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

65AVG
Value84
Quality45
Growth32
Stability84
Investment78

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)52.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)65.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.2% to +4.0%
Medium-term
-3.0% to +6.4%
Long-term
-3.8% to +8.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 57

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage2 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 โ€” Topping
12M Momentum-0.0%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-12.8%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.04)
Relative Strength vs Sector-1.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.1)
Momentum Quality-0.005
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
62%
High risk โ€” cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P9
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P88
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P78
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
-0.7ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 63 relative to sector peers63/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 57th percentileP57
Blended score: 80% fundamental (63) + 20% ML (57) = 62.162.1
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 13% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Value trap penalty: -2.3ptValue Trap
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #83 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
WEYS38.912.4-8.7%8.7%$306M
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$93.0B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$31.0B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.8B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$77.0B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.1B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.0B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$9.9B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$39.7B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.2B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.8B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.2B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.2B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold2 analysts
Hold: 2

Company Overviewvia FMP

Weyco Group, Inc. designs and distributes footwear for men, women, and children. It operates through two segments, North American Wholesale Operations and North American Retail Operations. The company offers mid-priced leather dress shoes and casual footwear of man-made materials or leather; and outdoor boots, shoes, and sandals under the Florsheim, Nunn Bush, Stacy Adams, BOGS, and Rafters brand names. It is also involved in the wholesale of its products to approximately 10,000 footwear, department, and specialty stores, as well as e-commerce retailers. As of December 31, 2021, the company had four brick and mortar retail stores in the United States. In addition, it has licensing agreements with third parties, who sell its branded apparel, accessories, and specialty footwear. It serves in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, Asia, and South Africa. The company was formerly known as Weyenberg Shoe Manufacturing Company and changed its name to Weyco Group, Inc. in April 1990. Weyco Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1906 and is based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

CEO
Thomas W. Florsheim Jr.
Employees
413
Beta
0.95
Industry
Apparel - Footwear & Accessories
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
47.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-11.7%
High: $36.8
From 52W Low
+27.4%
Low: $25.51
Moving Averages
10-Day
$31.70
Above
20-Day
$31.80
Above
50-Day
$31.60
Above
200-Day
$31.00
Above
60-Day Support
$29.56
60-Day Resistance
$34.44
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 โ€” ToppingScore: 24/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+4.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.54%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.6x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
20
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$73M$58M$68M$80M
Gross Profit$30M$25M$30M$39M
Operating Income$8M$4M$7M$12M
Net Income$7M$2M$6M$10M
EPS (Diluted)$0.69$0.24$0.57$1.04
Gross Margin40.7%43.3%44.6%47.9%
Operating Margin11.0%6.7%10.3%14.3%
Net Margin9.0%3.9%8.1%12.4%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalP/E ratio of 12.4Valuation below sector median (P/E 12.4)

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -18.0pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
12K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$358K/day
Float
0
6M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$306M
Range
0
44% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$17.55$25.5036.9%Wide
2022$19.89$32.4548%Wide
2023$21.43$33.0342.6%Wide
2024$27.05$41.0541.1%Wide
2025$25.51$38.1939.8%Wide
3-Year Range
62.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.35x dampening
weinstein basingrevenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
58.8%
Outstanding Shares
10M
Bid-Ask Spread
44.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.