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21

CDRO

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A.

Conservative #1252Aggressive #1324Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 33pt
$8.11+0.12%
Day High$8.11
Day Low$7.99
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$370M
52W Low $552W High $9
Market Cap
$367M
P/E Ratio
94.8
Sector avg: 36.9
Rev Growth
24.2%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
261.7%
Profit Margin
4.2%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.09

Why This Score

CDRO scores 21.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.4% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.09) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 94.8x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (10.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -28.6 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CDRO would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score21.7
Fundamental Score54.1
ML Score15.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
80.6
6 Month
90.0
Primary
1 Year
94.8

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-398.3%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
42
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
21.3
SHAP
+2.2
Factors
+1.8
Divergence
-3.6
Final
21.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

56AVG
Value0
Quality40
Growth94
Stability74
Investment71

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)59.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)48.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)73.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.3% to +1.3%
Medium-term
-7.9% to +1.9%
Long-term
-10.5% to +2.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 15

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+7.5%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score41.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+4.1%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.06)
Relative Strength vs Sector-0.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.002
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P89
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P4
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P33
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
+1.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 54 relative to sector peers54/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 15th percentileP15
Blended score: 80% fundamental (54) + 20% ML (15) = 46.346.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 28% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -3.6pt (ML 39pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-398.3%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #108 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CDRO21.794.824.2%4.2%$367M
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$93.0B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$31.0B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.8B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$77.0B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.1B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.0B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$9.9B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$39.7B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.2B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.8B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.2B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.2B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold1 analysts
Hold: 1
Price Target
$9consensus
Low $9Median $9High $9
+4.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Codere Online Luxembourg, S.A. operates as an online casino gaming and sports betting company. The company also offers online casino wagering products and services. It primarily operates in Spain, Italy, Mexico, Colombia, Panama, and Argentina. The company is based in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.

CEO
Aviv Sher
Employees
297
Beta
0.42
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
68.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-7.3%
High: $8.75
From 52W Low
+56.6%
Low: $5.18
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.00
Above
20-Day
$7.90
Above
50-Day
$7.90
Above
200-Day
$7.60
Above
60-Day Support
$6.78
60-Day Resistance
$8.25
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 62/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+6.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.74%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.43x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
52
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2024Q3 2024Q2 2024Q1 2024
Revenue$49M$49M$51M$51M
Gross Profit$45M$45M$46M$46M
Operating Income$1M$1M$814,500$814,500
Net Income$2M$2M$-126,000$-126,000
EPS (Diluted)$0.04$0.04$-0.00$-0.00
Gross Margin90.5%90.5%90.8%90.8%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%1.6%1.6%
Net Margin4.2%4.2%-0.2%-0.2%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalRevenue growth 24.2%

Tradability FilterGrade F โ€” 0/100Score impact: -6.8pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
22K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$179K/day
Float
0
15M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$367M
Range
0
69% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
33.3%
Outstanding Shares
46M
Bid-Ask Spread
69.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.