El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
LOCO scores 50.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Moderate penalties (-5.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOCO | 50.7 | 12.3 | 0.9% | 5.4% | $332M |
| MAR | 76.9 | 37.2 | 4.3% | 9.9% | $93.0B |
| ULTA | 75.5 | 26.2 | 0.8% | 10.6% | $31.0B |
| ABNB | 75.5 | 30.1 | 10.3% | 20.5% | $81.8B |
| ORLY | 73.1 | 32.5 | 5.7% | 14.3% | $77.0B |
| HAS | 73.0 | 16.7 | -17.3% | 9.3% | $14.1B |
| GTX | 71.6 | 11.8 | 3.1% | 8.6% | $4.0B |
| ROST | 71.5 | 30.7 | 3.7% | 9.9% | $66.4B |
| DPZ | 71.1 | 21.9 | 5.1% | 12.4% | $13.7B |
| CART | 69.7 | 19.9 | 11.0% | 13.5% | $9.9B |
| EBAY | 69.6 | 18.3 | 1.7% | 19.3% | $39.7B |
| GNTX | 68.3 | 14.3 | 0.6% | 17.5% | $5.2B |
| MCRI | 66.2 | 17.2 | 4.4% | 18.6% | $1.8B |
| CASY | 65.5 | 41.0 | 7.3% | 3.4% | $25.2B |
| AMZN | 65.5 | 27.7 | 12.4% | 10.8% | $2.2T |
| TXRH | 65.2 | 27.6 | 16.0% | 8.1% | $12.2B |
| Sector Average | 47.4 | 36.9 | 6.3% | -6.5% | — |
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiary, El Pollo Loco, Inc., develops, franchises, licenses, and operates quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco name. As of May 04, 2022, the company operated 480 restaurants comprising 189 company-operated and 291 franchised restaurants located in California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Utah, and Louisiana. It also licenses one restaurant in the Philippines. The company was formerly known as Chicken Acquisition Corp. and changed its name to El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. in April 2014. El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Costa Mesa, California.
Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.
| Metric | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 | Q4 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $122M | $126M | $119M | $114M |
| Gross Profit | $35M | $25M | $24M | $24M |
| Operating Income | $11M | $12M | $9M | $9M |
| Net Income | $7M | $7M | $5M | $6M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $0.25 | $0.24 | $0.19 | $0.20 |
| Gross Margin | 29.0% | 19.8% | 20.3% | 21.3% |
| Operating Margin | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% |
| Net Margin | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $12.06 | $20.34 | 51.1% | Wide |
| 2022 | $8.15 | $14.79 | 57.9% | Wide |
| 2023 | $8.11 | $13.00 | 46.3% | Wide |
| 2024 | $8.17 | $14.25 | 54.2% | Wide |
| 2025 | $8.29 | $12.65 | 41.6% | Wide |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.